Tokyo inflation all the more reason for BOJ to look towards policy shift 0 (0)

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>In case you missed it, Eamonn had the data release earlier in the day <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/japan-data-december-tokyo-area-cpi-core-core-is-27-yy-20230109/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>here</a>. The core reading came in at 4.0% y/y, which is the highest since April 1982 with the core-core reading rising to 2.7% y/y in December, up from 2.5% y/y in November.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>While the report only measures inflation in Tokyo, it very much presents the likelihood that overall inflation in Japan had stayed above the 2% target by the BOJ through December.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The Japanese central bank will announce their next policy decision on 18 January and while policymakers aren’t likely to spring another surprise on markets, it is widely expected that they will raise their inflation forecasts at least.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>However, as long as inflation data continues to show up like what we saw today, it will be harder and harder for the BOJ to keep ignoring the prospects of having to shift their policy stance.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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China December M2 money supply +11.8% vs +12.2% y/y expected 0 (0)

<ul><li>Prior +12.4%</li><li>New yuan loans ¥1.4 trillion vs ¥1.1 trillion expected</li><li>Prior ¥1.2 trillion</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The numbers continue to support the narrative that China is aiding the market recovery at least, particularly so after having been crippled by its previous zero-Covid policy. For some context, the new yuan loans issued throughout 2022 is a record, coming in at ¥21.3 trillion. Considering the re-opening, I doubt Chinese authorities will let up until they have a fair sense of confidence that the economy can hold its own.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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