German forecast reportedly to show economy narrowly dodging a recession this year 0 (0)

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Just be mindful that the sources cited are claiming that these are non-finalised figures, noting that the report is set to show the German economy narrowly escaping a recession with a growth of 0.2% in 2023. The forecast for 2024 shows a growth of 1.8%. Adding to that, inflation is expected to be at 6.0% in 2023 and 2.8% in 2024.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The full report will be presented next week on 25 January in any case. But as always when it comes to these sort of forecasts, it’s not so much about the numbers. This first draft will act as a benchmark for which the revisions later in the year will reflect economic and market sentiment relative to how expectations were set at the start of the year.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive

EUR/USD closes in on the week’s highs as dollar stays under pressure 0 (0)

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The euro was dented yesterday after a report came out suggesting that there might just be <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecb-sources-50-bps-at-the-next-meeting-and-then-25-bps-afterwards-20230117/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>one more 50 bps rate hike on the cards</a> left for the ECB. But it is recovering well now with the dollar feeling the heat in European trading, as we see EUR/USD rise up to 1.0860 levels at the moment:</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The push higher closes in on the highs at the start of the week as the bullish breakout in <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/terms/e/eur-usd/“ class=“terms__main-term“ id=“a68cd323-8af1-4ecb-a8dd-0aa83e90da63″ target=“_blank“>EUR/USD</a> continues to stay intact. The softer dollar today is but another contributing factor to the technical momentum as of late, which is better depicted through the weekly chart below.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>As seen above, there is scope for the upside push to extend towards the 50.0 Fib retracement level of the downswing from 2021 through to September last year, sitting at around 1.0942. That will be a key point to watch before added resistance comes into play at 1.1000 next.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The euro sentiment today is also helped by Villeroy’s earlier <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-villeroy-too-early-to-speculate-about-what-we-will-do-in-march-20230118/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>comments</a>, reaffirming that Lagarde’s earlier rate guidance still stands.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive

Eurozone December final CPI +9.2% vs +9.2% y/y prelim 0 (0)

<ul><li>Core CPI +5.2% vs +5.2% y/y prelim</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>No change to the initial estimates but just keep in mind that while headline annual inflation did drop in the euro area, core inflation continues to pose a problem for the region. That’s indicative of price pressures seeping into the more prominent parts of the economy, not just in fuel and energy prices.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive