<p>Headlines:</p><ul><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/first-citizens-to-assume-all-deposits-loans-of-silicon-valley-bank-20230327/“>First Citizens to assume all deposits, loans of Silicon Valley Bank</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-nagel-inflation-is-still-just-too-high-20230327/“>ECB’s Nagel: Inflation is still just too high</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-de-cos-recent-tensions-have-generated-a-further-tightening-of-financial-conditions-20230327/“>ECB’s de Cos: Recent tensions have generated a further tightening of financial conditions</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/germany-march-ifo-business-climate-index-933-vs-910-expected-20230327/“>Germany March Ifo business climate index 93.3 vs 91.0 expected</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/eurozone-february-m3-money-supply-29-vs-32-yy-expected-20230327/“>Eurozone February M3 money supply +2.9% vs +3.2% y/y expected</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/uk-march-cbi-retailing-reported-sales-1-vs-6-expected-20230327/“>UK March CBI retailing reported sales 1 vs -6 expected</a></li></ul><p>Markets:</p><ul><li>CHF leads, JPY lags on the day</li><li>European equities higher; S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.6%</li><li>US 10-year yields up 8 bps to 3.462%</li><li>Gold down 1.1% to $1,954.43</li><li>WTI crude up 1.3% to $70.19</li><li>Bitcoin up 0.9% to $27,895</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>It’s a brand new week and maybe this time markets can really look to put behind them the episode of the banking crisis of 2023.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Besides a brief hiccup at the start of European morning trade, it was quite straightforward as risk trades recovered to start things off this week. The banking turmoil looks to ease further and I guess that means the focus will start to turn back towards central banks and inflation once again.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>There will still be watchful eyes on banks and the economy but the bigger picture is likely to stay the same as before we experienced what we did in the past few weeks.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>US futures briefly erased its solid advance at the start of the session but is now back higher again. European equities kept pace and are on course for solid gains to kick start the final week of March trading.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Meanwhile, bond yields are also pulling higher as traders pare back safety bets further. Treasury yields are jumping with Fed fund futures also reflecting roughly 64% odds of the Fed holding rates unchanged in May – down from 85% at the start of the day.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The dollar was more mixed as it trades lower against the franc, loonie and pound while little changed against the euro and aussie. The yen is the main laggard though as bond yields jump higher, with USD/JPY rising from 130.50 earlier to 131.50 during the session.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Here’s what we will be getting:</p><ul><li>Australia February CPI (29/3)</li><li>Spain March preliminary CPI (30/3)</li><li>Germany March preliminary CPI (30/3)</li><li>France March preliminary CPI (31/3)</li><li>Eurozone March preliminary CPI (31/3)</li><li>US February PCE price index (31/3)</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>As much as markets are recovering from the hangover after the banking turmoil, it won’t be long before the focus shifts back towards central banks and inflation once again.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>To add to the whole mix of data above, there’s also month-end and quarter-end flows to consider alongside potential repatriation flows amid the Japanese fiscal year-end (although much of this should already be transacted during the month itself).</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Equities are now pulling higher on the day with S&amp;P 500 futures up 29 points, or 0.7%, at the highs with bond yields also pressing towards the upside ahead of North America trading. 2-year Treasury yields are now up 18 bps to 3.95% as the mood music continues to improve. There was <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/it-looks-like-the-coast-isnt-clear-just-yet-20230327/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>a bit of a hiccup</a> right at the start of European trading but that has been quickly brushed aside.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The dollar is trading more mixed with it being slightly lower against the euro and pound but nothing too notable. The only movers on the day have really been the yen and franc.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The former is falling on the back of higher yields with USD/JPY moving up from 130.50 earlier to 131.50 now while the latter is benefiting from a further cooling in the banking turmoil and arguably the continued hawkish setup by the SNB.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>As for meaningful headlines with regards to risk sentiment, the only one that we really got was earlier in the day here:</p><ul><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/first-citizens-to-assume-all-deposits-loans-of-silicon-valley-bank-20230327/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>First Citizens to assume all deposits, loans of Silicon Valley Bank</a></li></ul>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>This is one of the more lagging takes to one of the bigger themes so far in Q1 2023. The European economy has been quite resilient coming out of what was supposed to be a bleak winter and with recession risks being skirted, we have seen equities in the region soar tremendously since the turn of the year.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.