Oil down 4% on the day as downside pressure persists 0 (0)

The ongoing worries surrounding global growth isn’t really helping the mood in oil at the moment and we’re taking quite a shave off the top after the spike towards $130 amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early March.The uneasy situation surrounding Shanghai isn’t helping with the outlook as China remains a major uncertainty at this stage. The technicals point to some support around $95 and the 15 March low at $93.56 but a drop below that is where things could get uglier for oil, despite a 4% decline to start the new week already.There won’t be much support towards $90 next before the 100-day moving average (red line) @ $88.51 currently comes into play.I outlined my thoughts on the oil market in this post last week. I still stand by the more bullish structural view with dip buys around $80 to $85 being where the value is at, barring major demand destruction.

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No let up in the bond selling in European morning trade 0 (0)

Not much has changed since my earlier post at the start of the day here.
The bond market remains in charge of trading sentiment at the moment and the yen is being punished for it in European morning trade. USD/JPY is up 110 pips on the day now to 125.40 as buyers seek a firm breakout above the 125.00 level.
Here’s a look at Treasury yields:

2-year Treasury yields +6.4 bps to 2.584%
5-year Treasury yields +6.5 bps to 2.822%
10-year Treasury yields +5.6 bps to 2.771%
30-year Treasury yields +2.8 bps to 2.774%

And it doesn’t just stop there. It’s a global push as we are seeing 10-year German bund yields are at its highest since 2018 while 10-year French bond yields are at their highest since 2015. Meanwhile, 10-year JGB yield are also approaching the BOJ’s implicit yield cap at 0.25% once again.

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