This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Kategorie-Archiv: Forex News
UK December final services PMI 49.9 vs 50.0 prelim
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 30 December -10.3% vs +0.9% prior
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JP Morgan bumps up China 2023 growth forecast, again..
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Heads up: Fed minutes for the December meeting coming up later today
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Weekly RUSSELL 2000 Technical Analysis
hawkish than expected, the market sold off on higher risks of
overtightening and a worse than expected recession, bringing the Russell 2000 index into focus.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Bear Market Headwinds for Broader Market, Russell 2000</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>These are two of the
worst possible things for the stock market and should result in a
continuation of the bear market. The <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/china-takes-the-final-step-to-embrace-living-with-covid-20221227/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>China
reopening news</a> during the Christmas holidays can have two
implications:</p><p class=“MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst“>·
It may help with global growth and reduce the
chances of a hard landing.</p><p class=“MsoListParagraphCxSpLast“>·
Increase inflationary pressures.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Both the options though, lead
to the Fed possibly being forced to go higher than their expected terminal rate,
which brings us back to the original risks: overtightening and deep recession.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>RUSSELL
2000 Technical Analysis</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>In the
daily chart above, we can see how the Russell 2000 price, after falling off a cliff out of
the FOMC meeting, pulled back to the nearest swing low <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>resistance</a> area at 1788-1798. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>That looks
like a strong barrier as we saw several tests without successful breaks. If the buyers manage to breach
that level, the next possible upside target may be in the 1880-1900 region. If
the price fails though, the October low at 1642 will be the clear target.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>In the 1-hour chart above, we
can see more closely the current rangebound price action with a <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>resistance</a> near the 1800 handle and a
support at 1730. Ideally, you would want to stay out of such a market and
wait for a clear breakout before deciding what to do next. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Nevertheless,
one can try to play the Russell 2000 range selling at <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>resistance</a> and buying at <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>support</a> until the game stops.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Drilling down to the 15 minutes
chart, we can see that there’s a <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>resistance</a> turned <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>support</a> at the moment (orange line). This level should define
where the price may be headed next. In the first scenario, the price may
retest the level and run to the upside testing again the resistance. In the
second scenario, the price breaks down and falls to the support.</p>
This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.
Now there’s that 2022 spirit
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
EUR/USD set for biggest daily decline since September last year
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Not quite the 2022 theme this one
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Bitcoin gets ready to move
Market picture</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>
Bitcoin
has declined slightly over the past 24 hours – the bulls have still not decided
to go on the offensive. Perhaps it is because of an overhang of selling orders
from struggling miners.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The first cryptocurrency
is trading near $16.7K to start the day on Tuesday, having retreated from its
50-day moving average but maintaining a positive bias towards the upside within
the trend of several trading days. US exchanges return to action today to
increase liquidity, including in cryptocurrencies.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Traders
should be prepared that there may be attempts to form new market trends from
the new year. And it could be a decisive move upward or another sell-off after
a lull.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Regarding
seasonality, January is considered a neutral month for BTC. Over the past 12
years, Bitcoin has ended with growth on six occasions. The
average growth over the last 12 years has been 22%, while the average decline
has been 17%.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>In the first
case, BTC could end January at around $20,100. Second, it could finish at about
$13,700, updating November’s lows. Meanwhile, in the last eight years, bitcoin
has declined in January on six occasions, giving buyers of the first
cryptocurrency little chance.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>
Bitcoin News background</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>
The
popular YouTube blogger Coin Bureau believes that bitcoin still needs to bottom
out. In his opinion, we should expect BTC to drop to $10,000 during the first
three months of 2023.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Negative
sentiment in the crypto market will dominate until spring 2023, said the crypto
fund QCP Capital.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The Italian
parliament passed a bill to tax cryptocurrency traders. Traders will now pay
26% on profits made from digital trading assets. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the other
side of the coin, Britain is introducing tax breaks for foreigners trading
through local brokers to make London a crypto trading hub, as it is now with
currencies and metals.
</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>This
article was written by <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.fxpro.com/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>FxPro</a>’s Senior
Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich.</p>
This article was written by FxPro FXPro at www.forexlive.com.