This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Schlagwort-Archiv: Currency
Dow Jones Technical Analysis
see that the sellers eventually managed to break below the key <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>support</a> level at 32684. The recent
breakout was caused by the collapse of the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/svb-collapse-whats-next-20230312/“>Silicon
Valley Bank</a> on Friday which spread fears of contagion in the
banking system and led to risk aversion across the board. </p><p>The Treasury and the Fed worked
during the weekend on a solution for this particular matter and came up with an
<a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/us-official-says-banks-not-being-bailed-out-nah-theyre-being-bailed-out-heres-how-20230312/“>emergency
lending facility</a> that would protect the depositors and give the
banks the chance to convert their long term securities at original value
instead of being marked to market. This development pushed the markets up as
the futures market reopened and the price rallied all night long. </p><p>On the 4 hour chart below, we can
see that the overnight rally stalled at the red long period <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-moving-averages-20220425/“>moving
average</a> and the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-trendlines-20220406/“>trendline</a>. This is a zone where the
sellers may be leaning on and the key <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>resistance</a> at 32684 offers a good
protection for shorts. The buyers will need to break above the 32684 level if
they want to gain control and target the major trendline as the first target. </p><p>What comes next though, should be
decided by the CPI report tomorrow. The market is currently pricing a <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/oh-how-the-tables-have-turned-20230313/“>higher
chance of 25 bps hike</a> at the March meeting and completely priced out the
50 bps chance. A beat across the board in the data may raise odds of the 50 bps
hike and push the market lower, while a miss should give the buyers lots of
strength to push higher and make new higher highs. </p><p>In the 1 hour chart below, we can
see that the resistance zone at 32684 is pretty strong. We have <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-confluence-20220318/“>confluence</a> of the trendline, the 61.8% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level and the above-mentioned resistance. This
will be the first line of defence for the sellers. If the buyers break above,
the sellers may want to wait for the price to approach the major trendline
first before starting to pile in. </p>
This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.
All SVB assets, deposits have been transferred to FDIC-operated ‚Bridge Bank‘
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
SVB collapse: What’s next?
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Dow Jones technical analysis at ForexLive.com: Contrarian long oppportunity for traders?
</p><p class=“text-align-start“>
I present the bull channel that was broken previously, and subsequently retested. There is another retest now, and while there is a possibility of a piercing the channel on this retest (price entering the channel), I believe that it is worthwhile to target a bounce is in the very near future.</p><p class=“text-align-start“>I share that I will be looking look for a long opportunity in the area where the channel was broken out of, and note that the reward versus risk is favorable. I do caution traders to do their own analysis and trade at their own risk, but believe that there is a good reason to take a bet on the daily time frame.</p><p class=“text-align-start“>This analysis and its trade „lookout“ may be right or wrong BUT IN ANY CASE, it highlights the importance of technical analysis in situations like this, where there may be a lot of over-excitement or panic based on news events. They suggest that traders who follow technical analysis may be able to identify high risk-reward key junctions where algorithms and traders may be looking to buy or sell, and take advantage of those opportunities.</p><p class=“text-align-start“>Visit <a target=“_blank“ href=“www.forexlive.com“>ForexLive.com</a> for additional views and trade the Dow Jones at your own risk.</p>
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.
China finance minister &, PBOC Governor to both stay on, an unexpected continuity signal
Premier Li Qiang nominated Yi Gang to remain governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) and Liu Kun to stay on as finance minister.</p><p>This is being interepreted as President Xi Jinping opting for a measure of continuity in key economic policymaking posts. Yi was appointed as PBOC governor in 2018 but had been had been widely expected to retire after being left off the ruling Communist Party’s Central Committee during the party’s once-in-five-years congress in October.</p><p>China’s parliament, the National People’s Congress, will vote to approve the nominations on Sunday, a rubber-stamp process. UPDATE – the vote has taken place, all confirmed. </p><p>People’s Bank of China Governor Yi Gang has overseen relatively stable <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/terms/i/inflation/“ class=“terms__main-term“ id=“ad51a5a2-1afc-4f42-9e62-ea6faf6f90fa“ target=“_blank“>inflation</a> in China. </p>
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Chairman Jordan of the Swiss National Bank says Bank doing all it can to curb inflation
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Fed in talks to create a fund to backstop deposits if more banks fail – report
The hope is that setting up such a vehicle would reassure depositors and help contain any panic, said the people.,“ according to the report.</p><p>This sounds like an interesting option because it lets Silicon Valley Bank go while trying to step the contagion, though the details here are far from certain.</p><p>A separate report says US regulators are racing to sell SVB assets and make a portion of clients‘ uninsured deposits available as soon as Monday. The sources in the report said 30-50% or more.</p>
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
The Fed is now facing a real dilemma. Here’s what will happen
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 10 Mar: SVB overshadows the jobs report
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.