US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 29 January +8.1% vs -4.1% prior 0 (0)

Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 29 January 2021
–  -4.1%
– Market index 981.1 vs 907.6 prior
– Refinancing index 4,746.2 vs 4,261.5 prior
The jump in the past week owes much to a spike in refinancing activity but purchases in general also continue to hold up. That continues to reflect stronger housing

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USD/JPY may return to 105-110 range if Treasury yields rise to 1.5% – Mizuho 0 (0)

Mizuho outlines the conditions for USD/JPY to rise
The firm says that the market isn’t seeing a significant yen weakening trend at the moment but will feel more comfortable about USD/JPY going back to the 105-110 range if 10-year Treasury yields climb more significantly from hereon.

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Silver ETF surges despite price drop yesterday 0 (0)

Is the silver trade looking to switch back up again?
SLV saw a record amount of daily inflows worth nearly $1.6 billion yesterday (h/t @ daniburgz) despite the 9% drop in silver prices yesterday. That might be a sign that there is still strong appetite for silver despite the retreat after hitting $30 earlier in the

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Eurozone January preliminary CPI +0.9% vs +0.6% y/y expected 0 (0)

Latest data released by Eurostat – 3 February 2021
As mentioned , this shouldn’t change a thing in terms of the ECB outlook as the jump in inflation owes to a host of special circumstances to start the year. In any case, expect more volatility in the numbers to follow in the coming months as well.

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AUD/USD still headed for 0.81 by year-end despite RBA surprise today – HSBC 0 (0)

HSBC argues to look past the RBA surprise decision today
The firm says that while it was a surprise that the RBA announced a QE extension today, it simply „mirrors similar commitments by other G-10 central banks, including the Fed, and should therefore not be a significant long-term driver of the currency“.

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