This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
Schlagwort-Archiv: EUR
US equity close: S&P 500 virtually erases the year-to-date gains
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
Odds of a 50 bps hike on March 22 fall to 28%
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
WTI crude oil futures settle at $76.68
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
US futures pare losses on the day
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
It has been ten months in a row that US non-farm payrolls have beaten estimates
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Sterling claws its way back up towards the end of the week
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
S&P500 Technical Analysis
see that the price is again approaching the broken <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-trendlines-20220406/“>trendline</a> that now may act as support for
the buyers. The last bounce stalled at the red long period <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-moving-averages-20220425/“>moving
average</a> and the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>resistance</a> at 4061 where the sellers piled
in and then increased the selling pressure as <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/ka-powell-20230308/“>Fed
Chair Powell</a> signalled a possible 50 bps hike and a higher
terminal rate. </p><p>Yesterday we got another selloff,
but it’s not yet clear why that happened, although many are attributing it to
problems with a regional <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/why-is-the-market-in-a-full-fledged-flight-to-safety-mode-20230310/“>US
bank</a> that sparked fears of contagion. Anyway, all eyes will be on today’s <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/preview-february-non-farm-payrolls-by-the-numbers-20230309/“>NFP
report</a>. </p><p>In the 4
hour chart below, we can see that after stalling at the resistance at 4061 and
the 50% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level, the market sold off pretty aggressively due
to Powell’s comments. The moving averages crossed to the downside and the
sellers leant on the red long period moving average to extend the selloff even
further into the NFP report. </p><p>We now
may get a pullback as some position may be squared ahead of the event. The
moving averages will act as resistance but the direction will most likely be
decided by the data. </p><p>In the 1 hour chart below, we can
see that yesterday the price rallied into the downward trendline as <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-weekly-initial-jobless-claims-211k-vs-195k-expected-20230309/“>jobless
claims</a> missed expectations and then sold off as the stock market opened. It
could have been just positioning into a strong NFP report or the fear of
contagion due to the regional bank problems. </p><p>Hard to explain. The plan for the
traders seems clear today: if the data beats expectations, we should see the
sellers in control and push the price lower. On the other hand, if the data
misses expectations we may see a rally towards the 4061 resistance. </p>
This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.
Bitcoin fell back to critical technical levels
market is suffering impressive losses, mirroring traditional markets flee from
risk, which has mainly hit the financial and tech sectors—total crypto
capitalisation is down 6.5% in the last 24 hours to 930 billion.</p><p>Bitcoin fell
below $20K (-7.9% in the last 24 hours), an emotionally significant level for
the first cryptocurrency. As expected, the drop below $21.5K accelerated the
sell-off. Bitcoin is currently testing its 200-day moving average, which
appears to be the last line of defence on the way to $18K. </p><p>Further
decline in risk-sensitive assets can punish early crypto optimists and raise
questions about whether we are in the ‘crypto spring’. The bulls have technically
oversold, and the fact that markets rarely quickly abandon 200-day MA.</p><p>News Background</p><p>US
authorities have moved to the Coinbase around 10,000 BTCs seized from the Silk
Road darknet marketplace. Market participants fear that the US authorities will
start selling off the bitcoins seized from cybercriminals.</p><p>Another
reason for the decline in the crypto market was the closure of Silvergate Bank.
Previously, there had been rumours that Silvergate Bank might reopen, but
management decided to close the bank and return deposits to customers.</p><p>The head of
the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Rostin Behnam, said that the
agency, not the SEC, should regulate Ethereum and stablecoins because they are
commodities. According to Behnam, he would only have allowed the launch of ETH
futures if he was firmly convinced that it was a commodity. Previously, SEC
chief Gary Gensler argued that all crypto assets except bitcoin are securities.</p><p>This article was written by <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.fxpro.com/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>FxPro</a>’s Senior Market Analyst Alex
Kuptsikevich.</p>
This article was written by FxPro FXPro at www.forexlive.com.
Dollar drops further on the session, payrolls still the main focus
It’s hard to really jump in to say that the dollar rally on Tuesday has peaked this week, especially since <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/payrolls-the-only-thing-that-matters-now-towards-the-end-of-the-week-20230309/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>markets are looking to the US jobs report tomorrow</a> as being one of the major hurdles to get through before the FOMC meeting later this month.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>That’s not making it easy to really interpret the moves today I would say. Can Friday come already?</p>
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.