The second quarter of the year has been a tricky three months for the Bank of England (BoE) as inflation continued to soar – and is expected to rise further – while growth slowed to a crawl, sparki…
Schlagwort-Archiv: Forecast
Bitcoin Q3 2022 Forecast: Where’s the Bottom?
If Q1 was difficult for crypto bulls, Q2 was an absolute disaster… As we head into the third quarter, the macro-outlook is still likely to be challenging for crypto, but we could be nearing a cycle…
Japanese Yen Q3 2022 Forecast: Will a Weak Yen Push the BoJ into Action?
The Japanese Yen was hammered by markets in the second quarter. USD/JPY shot by the 2002 peak, touching its highest since 1998. A key driver of the Yen’s weakness has been the Bank of Japan’s polic…
Gold Q3 2022 Forecast: Fundamental Outlook Weakens
As anticipated in the Q2’22 gold forecast, the main catalyst that drove gold prices higher in Q1’22 – the Russian invasion of Ukraine – proved to be a short-lived catalyst.
Oil Q3 2022 Forecast: Rising Output to Coincide with Easing Demand
The price of oil has fallen roughly 20% from the 2022 high ($130.50) as US President Joe Biden takes further steps to combat high energy prices.
Euro Q3 2022 Forecast: Euro May Fall Anew as Debt Crisis Fears Dilute ECB Rate Hikes
The Euro has steadily depreciated against a basket of major currencies since Dec. 2020. Tellingly, that turning point coincided with topping gold prices and the start of a creep higher in Fed rate …
Australian Dollar Q3 2022 Forecast: Fed’s Lost Credibility is Noted by RBA
The Australian Dollar made a 2-year low against the US Dollar in May as global central banks jockeyed for position in the fight on inflation.
Equities Q3 2022 Forecast: Bearish Momentum Remains Amid Rising Recession Risks
Our Q2 forecast for equities had centered around a mentality shift from a “buy the dip bias” to a “sell the rip” with the Federal Reserve and central banks alike in a tightening overdrive to fight …
US Dollar Q3 2022 Forecast: Dollar’s Run Relies on Rates, Recession and Risk
The Dollar performed exceptionally well through the first half of 2022 – and more broadly over the preceding year.
Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq 100, US Dollar, BTC/USD, Crude Oil, PCE Data, Growth Woes
The Nasdaq 100 soared as the US Dollar weakened alongside Treasury yields and Bitcoin stabilized amid early hope that US inflation might be peaking. Crude oil prices retreated amid rising growth wo…