Market researcher Jim Bianco of Bianco Research sees widespread losses on Wall Street due aggressive Federal Reserve’s policies to lower inflation.
Archiv für den Monat: April 2022
S&P 500 slips as Wall Street heads for losing week on Fed angst
U.S. stock slipped on Friday and the market headed for a losing week as investors braced for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.
Stocks making the biggest moves midday: HP, Constellation Brands, CDK Global and more
These are the stocks posting the largest moves in midday trading.
Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
GBP Forecast Q2 2022: The Bank of England's Inflation and Growth Puzzle
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise UK interest rates further in the second quarter of 2022 as the UK central bank tries to stem soaring prices pressures. The BoE has already lifted the …
AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
The Australian Dollar made an 18-month low in January, eclipsing the November 2020 nadir of 0.6991 by a small margin.
EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform…
Bitcoin Price Forecast Q2 2022: Still Not Immune from Market Risk
Q1 hasn’t been easy for investors. In fact, the stock market had one of its worst starts to a year in history, rivaled by the GFC and great depression. Of course, Bitcoin as a high beta asset hasn’…
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar firms, bond selling resumes
Headlines:French election poses weekend risk for the euroJapan moves to ban Russian coal importsEU formally adopts new sanctions against Russia, includes coal import banBank of Russia brings down key rate by 300 bps to 17%Markets:USD leads, NZD lags on the dayEuropean equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.4%US 10-year yields up 2.5 bps to 2.679%Gold flat at $1,932.30WTI up 0.3% to $95.75Bitcoin down 0.4% to $43,350It was a quiet session for the most part but the dollar is continuing its recent good form as it firms slightly across the board.There were few notable headlines in European morning trade, with the Russian central bank moving to cut its key interest rate from 20% to 17% being arguably the highlight. That comes after the ruble has made a strong recovery in the past few weeks after a massive plunge during the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.Equities are looking to end the week on a more positive note after the gains in Wall Street yesterday. European indices are up over 1% while US futures are posting slight gains ahead of the open later. But the advance today comes after a tough week for stocks in general.Meanwhile, the bond market selloff is continuing to play out as Treasury yields climb further on the day. 2-year yield are back up above 2.50% and 10-year yields on approach to 2.70% soon enough. The latter is now approach its 200-month moving average @ 2.67% so that is a key level to be wary about.In the FX space, the dollar is seen firming with EUR/USD easing to fresh one-month lows around 1.0850-60 levels. The euro itself has some weekend risk to consider with the French presidential election on the cards on Sunday.GBP/USD is also weighed down as sellers start to take aim at the 1.3000 level. USD/JPY is looking perky as it tries to keep above 124.00 now with buyers hoping to try and retest 125.00 in the bigger picture.Elsewhere, commodity currencies aren’t faring too well either with AUD/USD down near the lows around 0.7460 and NZD/USD down 0.6% to 0.6850 levels. Both the aussie and kiwi are struggling for momentum after a bit of exhaustion following the post-RBA surge earlier in the week.
Japan coal ban highlights further risks towards diversification from Russian energy
Just to give a bit of background, Japan is the world’s third-largest importer of coal and Russia is the country’s second-largest supplier. In total, Russia supplies over 10% of Japan’s coal imports.Japan prime minister Kishida says that in banning Russian coal, the country will focus on renewable energy and nuclear power to replace the lost supplies. Those aren’t things that will come overnight but it highlights the long-term planning by many countries now in diversifying away from Russian energy.Coal is obviously the easy step. Oil and gas is an entirely different ballgame but it is one that could be on the cards in the year(s) ahead.Much like the EU, Japan also relies heavily on Russian oil and gas. For some context, the city of Hiroshima imports almost half of its gas supplies from Russia and Tokyo roughly about 10%.It will take time to replace existing contracts and projects that are running at the moment but over time, one can expect more and more countries to continue to lessen their dependency on Russian energy.The question then becomes, what is the long-term outlook for Russian oil and gas? I fear it is going to be a Venezuela situation but considering Putin’s ideals, you never really know what might come next when his back is against the wall.