China to hold 20th Communist Party congress starting on 16 October 0 (0)

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The congress typically lasts for about a week, in which members of the party will gather to choose the leadership for the next five years. For some context, China passed a constitutional amendment that allowed the president to serve an unlimited number of five-year terms back in 2018. That was pretty much Xi cementing his power on the throne as he could very well serve as president for life in China.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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UK inflation could top at over 20% – Goldman Sachs 0 (0)

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Citi last week said that UK inflation was set to peak at 18.6% in January and now we are seeing Goldman Sachs top that estimate, as the firm argues that we may see inflation spiral to over 20% early next year in the UK.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>“In a scenario where gas prices remain elevated at current levels, we would expect the price cap to increase by over 80% in January (vs 19% assumed in our baseline). This would imply headline inflation peaking at 22.4%, well above our baseline forecast of 14.8%.“</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The firm also says that they expect a recession to begin in Q4 this year, with the economy set to contract by 0.6% next year. As for the BOE outlook, they see policymakers raising the bank rate by 50 bps to 2.25% next month but notes that there are upside risks to its forecasts for additional 25 bps rate hikes in subsequent meetings.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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