ForexLive European FX news wrap: Markets tentative awaiting US CPI, Fed showdown 0 (0)

Headlines:

Markets:

  • CHF leads, JPY lags on the day
  • European equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.1%
  • US 10-year yields flat at 4.398%
  • Gold down 0.1% to $2,312.79
  • WTI crude up 1.1% to $78.77
  • Bitcoin up 0.8% to $67,800

It was a quiet and more tentative session as markets are waiting on the main events later today.

It will be the first time since June 2020 that the US CPI report and FOMC meeting both falling on the same day, setting up for a blockbuster session in US trading ahead.

That is keeping markets on edge, with major currencies little changed overall. French president Macron came out to say that he will fight on and that is nudging the euro a little higher. EUR/USD is up 0.2% to 1.0760, with the dollar keeping mixed on the day so far.

USD/JPY is seen up 0.2% to 157.35 while GBP/USD is up 0.1% to 1.2755 currently, not doing a whole lot overall.

In the equities space, European indices are seeing a slight bounce back after the political angst weighed on sentiment in the last two days. US futures aren’t doing much though, waiting on the inflation numbers and the Fed later before acting.

It’s been a bit of a wait this week but we’re finally here now. Time to get the party started!

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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BOE seen cutting rates in August – poll 0 (0)

  • 63 of 65 economists expect BOE to cut rates starting August
  • All economists polled expect there to be no change to rates later this month
  • 35 of 65 economists see two rate cuts by the BOE for this year
  • 24 of 65 economists see three rate cuts by the BOE for this year
  • Only 3 of 65 economists anticipate more than three rate cuts by the BOE for this year

It has been a while now that markets and the BOE itself have converged to a timeline for an August move. After a more resilient showing in Q1, the UK economy looks set to return to its sluggish roots again in Q2. That will add some pressure for the BOE to move, although price pressures remain relatively sticky for the time being.

It will certainly be a test of the central bank’s resolve with August being just two months away now.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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