Archiv für den Monat: Juli 2024
A technical look at each of the major currency pairs heading into the new trading week
USDJPY:
GBPUSD:
USDCHF:
USDCAD:
AUDUSD and NZDUSD
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 26 Jul: Rebound day. AUD higher. CHF lower. Stocks rise
- US stocks close the week with gains on the day. S&P and Nasdaq lower for the week.
- Next week will be the Grand Daddy of the earning calendar this quarter
- Baker Hughes oil rig count +5 to 482.
- ECBs Schnabel:Services inflation showing last mile in inflation fight especially difficult
- European shares bounce back. Mixed performance for the week.
- Initial Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth tracker comes in at 2.8%
- University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July 66.4 versus 66.0 estimate (and prelim)
- Kickstart the FX trading day for July 26 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
- US Core PCE YoY for June 2.6% versus 2.5% estimate
- The AUD is the strongest and the JPY is the weakest as the NA session begins.
- ForexLive European FX news wrap: A bit of respite ahead of the US PCE report
For most of the week, the flow of funds sent the JPY and CHF higher on flight to safety flows. The AUD (and NZD) lower as risk off sentiment dominated on the back of slowdown in China, lower commodities and stocks moving lower.
Today saw a reversal of some of those trends.
For the day, the AUDSD is the strongest of the majors. The CHF is ending as the weakest. The JPY is ending the day mixed. The USD which was mixed for a lot of the week is ending the week with the same fortunes today.
Stocks moved higher in both Europe and the US today.
The major European indices bounced back in trading today with all the indices higher.
- German DAX, +0.68%
- France CAC +1.22%
- UK FTSE 100 +1.21%
- Spain’s Ibex +0.18%
- Italy’s FTSE MIB +0.12%
For the trading week, most of the indices were higher except Italy’s FTSE MIB
- German DAX +1.38%
- France CAC, -0.22%
- UK FTSE 100, +1.59%
- Spain’s Ibex, +0.71%
- Italy’s FTSE MIB, -1.09%
The final numbers in the US closed the day with gains across the board.
- Dow industrial average rose 654.27 points or 1.64% at 40,589.35.
- S&P index rose 59.86 points or 1.11% at 5459.09
- NASDAQ index rose 176.16 points or 1.03% at 17357.88
- The small-cap Russell 2000 rose to 37.08 points or 1.67% at 2260.06.
For the trading week, the results were mixed with the Dow up for the 4th consecutive week. The Russell 2000 was up for the 3rd week.. The S&P and the Nasdaq were down for the 2nd consecutive week. Next week will be influenced by a slew of earnings highlighted by Microsoft, Apple, Amazon and Amazon amongst other large cap titans in various industries.
US yields are closing the day near lows across the yield curve:
- 2 year yield 4.389%, -5.4 basis points
- 5-year yield 4.0767%, -6.8 basis points
- 10-year yield 4.195%, -6.0 basis points
- 30-year yield 4.456%, -4.4 basis points
For the trading week:
- 2-year yield -13 basis points
- 5-year yield, -9.4 basis points
- 10-year yield, -4.7 basis points
- 30-year yield, unchanged.
The 2-10 year rose by 8.3 basis points for the week to -19.4 basis pointe. The 2-30 year spread is ending positive by 6.7 basis points.
Fundamentally today, the PCE data was consistent with the PCE data from the GDP data yesterday.
The core PCE moved up by 0.188% (rounded to 0.2%. The YoY rose by 2.6%. The was unchanged from last month. The headline PCE rose of 0.1% (revised higher) with the YoY dipping to 2.5% from 2.6%.
The Michigan consumer survey data was mixed with the sentiment moving higher vs the preliminary, the current conditions lower and the expectations higher . Inflation results were more or less as expected and close to last months levels.
IN addition to the parade of earnings, the Fed, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will announce interest rate decision. The US jobs report will be released on Friday. Australia and EU CPI will be released. China PMI will be released as well.
Thank you for the support.this week. Wishing you all a great weekend (PS enjoy the Olympics).
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
US stocks close the week with gains on the day. S&P and Nasdaq lower for the week.
The S&P and the Nasdaq remain lower on the week. The Dow and the small-cap Russell 2000 closed higher with the Russell 2000 the best performer on the rotation on hopes lower rates would help those companies going forward.
The final numbers are showing:
- Dow industrial average rose 654.27 points or 1.64% at 40,589.35.
- S&P index rose 59.86 points or 1.11% at 5459.09
- NASDAQ index rose 176.16 points or 1.03%17357.88
The small-cap Russell 2000 rose to 37.08 points or 1.67% at 2260.06.
For the trading week:
- Dow Industrial Average average rose 0.75%.The Dow closed higher for the fourth consecutive week
- S&P index fell -0.83%. The S&P index fell for the second consecutive week.
- NASDAQ index-2.08%. The NASDAQ index fell for the second consecutive week.
- Russell 2000 rose 3.466% and for the third consecutive week.
Next week is a huge week with Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft all scheduled to release earnings.
Today:
- Meta Platforms +2.75%
- Amazon, +1.47%
- Alphabet -0.17%
- Apple +0.22%
- Microsoft +1.64%
- Tesla -0.20%
- Nvidia +0.71%
For a list of the other companies scheduled to release can be found HERE. Of course the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday will also be a key event. The week will also end with the US jobs report on Friday (177K estimate with the unemployment rate at 4.1%).
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
US stocks move lower as the week moves toward the close
The indices still remain higher on the day, but in a week that has seen sharp moves lower, the leaking back to the downside is a disappointment.
Looking at the Nasdaq, it is still up 144 points or 0.88%, but was up 272 points at the high with a low at +58 points. Technically,the price is trading back below the 38.2% at 17353. That level will be a barometer for buyers and sellers.
The S&P was up as much as 89 points and as low as up 31.47 points. It is currently up 55 points or 1.07%. Technically, the low price this week stalled near the 38.2% near 5394.43. That is a positive in what has been a negative trading week in the S&P.
The Dow is up 661 points or 1.67%. and the Russell 2000 is up 30 points or 1.38% .
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
Next week will be the Grand Daddy of the earning calendar this quarter
As if that wasn’t enough, McDonald’s, Pfizer, Merck, AMD, Starbucks, Boeing, Qualcomm, Intel, Exxon Mobil and Chevron will also report.
Monday
Before Open:
- McDonald’s
- Phillips
After Close:
- Tilray
Tuesday
Before Open:
- SoFi
- Pfizer
- PayPal
- BP
- P&G
- Corning
- Merck
After Close:
- AMD
- Microsoft
- Starbucks
Wednesday
Before Open:
- Boeing
- Kraft Heinz
- Altria
After Close:
- Meta (Facebook)
- Qualcomm
- Carvana
- Lam Research
- Western Digital
Thursday
Before Open:
- Moderna
- ConocoPhillips
- Wayfair
- SiriusXM
After Close:
- Amazon
- Apple
- Intel
- Coinbase
- DraftKings
Friday
Before Open:
- ExxonMobil
- Chevron
- Frontier Communications
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.