The AUD and NZD continues to lead the majors on the upside 0 (0)

The NZD and AUD continues to be the best performers so far today.

For the NZD the upside was sparked by the solid jump in the ANZ Business Outlook which printed at the highest since 2014. For the AUD the strength looks more driven by overall risk sentiment with the upside in equities likely offering some support.

In terms of the underperformers, the EUR was pressured following a decent deceleration in German statewide CPI data, with 5 of the 6 states printing new cycle lows for CPI.

Looking ahead attention will turn to US data with the release of Q2 GDP 2nd estimate as well as the weekly jobless claims data.

This article was written by Arno V Venter at www.forexlive.com.

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US sees limited scope for nuclear talks with China 0 (0)

  • Exclusive-U.S. sees a ‚limited opportunity‘ to restart nuclear policy dialogue with China -U.S. official.
  • Exclusive-U.S. seeks arms talks with China focused on nuclear doctrine, strategic warning, risk reduction -U.S. official.
  • Exclusive-Asked about missile deployment, U.S. official says any decision to deploy new capabilities to support Philippines will be informed by actions they see from China.
  • Exclusive-U.S. officials have privately told China that interference in U.S. elections ‚would be intolerable‘ -U.S. official.
  • Exclusive-On China tariffs, U.S. official says they expect to ‚follow through on our intentions‘

This article was written by Arno V Venter at www.forexlive.com.

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Is now the right time to invest in cybersecurity, or is it too late? 0 (0)

Every day, it feels like we are sinking deeper into an
Orwellian dystopia. Even progressive democracies are starting to impose more
and more restrictions, especially on what can be said or written.

Ten years ago, the news that someone would be jailed for a
comment would have been bizarre. This is an unfortunate reality today, not
somewhere in a dictatorship but in the middle of Europe.

The latest developments go even further: earlier this week,
France detained
Telegram founder
Pavel Durov in connection with
allegations related to terrorism or arms trafficking.

Immediately, freedom advocates, or so-called libertarians,
including Edward Snowden, called for Durov’s release. But it appears that some
are acting beyond speaking out.

Reports indicate that hackers have carried out DDoS attacks
on several French government websites, including those for government services
and the Medicines Safety Agency.

Even if it was a coincidence, it highlights a growing
trend: cyberattacks are also going to grow due to geopolitical tensions, and
not necessarily direct ones, such as between
Israel and Hezbollah
.

Wars and rivalries are no longer confined to physical
battlefields; they are also fought online. This is why important countries now
have specialized cyber units, just like air forces.

Where do we stand now?

There is no need to start stocking up on tinfoil hats just
yet. Instead, it would be a good idea to add cybersecurity stocks to your watch
list, such as Palo Alto, Fortinet, and Check Point.

Given the current landscape, it’s no surprise that these
stocks are up more than 20% each since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500 and
Nasdaq.

As for whether it’s too late to jump on board, the answer
is it depends. For instance, Cisco Systems and Check Point look more attractive
than Palo Alto and Fortinet when you consider their P/E ratios.

Overall, spending on security still makes up less than 10%
of overall IT budgets despite the high risks of a breach. With Generative AI
expanding the ways cybercriminals can scale their attacks.

The demand for cybersecurity services is expected to
continue growing in the near future. With no one willing to skimp on security,
some companies will likely see significant profit opportunities.

It is worth researching which companies could benefit the
most by researching their products, prospects, and customer base. Otherwise,
there are ETFs focused on cybersecurity companies.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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Russell 2000 Technical Analysis – Small caps stocks continue to outperform 0 (0)

Fundamental
Overview

This week has been pretty
boring all around as the lack of catalysts kept the price action confined in a
tight range. The market is waiting for the key economic releases next week as
we will get the ISM PMIs and lots of US labour market data including the NFP
report.

As a reminder, the Fed is
now very focused on the labour market as Fed Chair Powell said that they will
not welcome any more weakness and will do everything they can to keep it
strong. Therefore, the data will decide whether the central bank will go with a
standard 25 bps cut in September or take a more aggressive approach with a 50
bps cut.

In today’s context though,
weaker labour market data and the prospect of a 50 bps cut might not be enough
to lift the stock market and could actually lead to more downside on
recessionary fears, so that’s something to keep in mind.

Russell 2000
Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can
see that after the spike higher on the dovish Powell’s speech, the Russell 2000
this week has been pulling back on the lack of more catalysts. Nonetheless, the
trend is still skewed to the upside, so the momentum buyers keep on stepping in
around key levels on the lower timeframes. The sellers will need to see the
price breaking below the 2100 level to start targeting new lows and switch the
bias from bullish to bearish.

Russell 2000 Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can
see that we had a strong support zone around the 2185 level where we had also
the confluence
of the 38.2% Fibonacci
retracement
level and the trendline.
The buyers stepped in with a defined risk below the trendline to position for a
rally into a new cycle high. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see
the price breaking below the trendline to position for a drop into the 2100
level next.

Russell 2000 Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can
see that we got a break of the downward counter-trendline today. The buyers
will likely increase the bullish bets around these levels to position for a
rally into a new high. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to wait for
the price to break below the upward trendline before positioning into more
downside. The red lines define the average daily range for today.

Upcoming
Catalysts

Today we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures, while tomorrow we conclude
the week with the US PCE report.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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