This year, the US dollar took an 11.6% bite out of both.
It certainly wasn’t a straight line for anyone trading the pair. NZD steadily rose against JPY from May to mid-July and then the bottom fell out as the market sniffed out a global slowdown. It was a rug pull in the pair that led to some breathtaking selling for three straight weeks. That drop was an early warning sign that foreshadowed (by about a week) a drop in US equities and global risk assets.
But the economic pain never really materialized in a way that some central bank rate cuts couldn’t handle. The Fed pivoted and NZD/JPY has cautiously tried to find a bottom.
Mixed in with that has been a haphazard Chinese stimulus program that’s at times inspired the market but mostly disappointed it. That will remain a big theme in NZD/JPY and trading in general in 2025.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.