Influence of social networks on financial markets 0 (0)

Social media can have a significant—sometimes
critical—impact on the reputation of public companies and their quotes.
Influencers in the cryptocurrency space frequently have a considerable
influence on the value of cryptocurrencies. For more information, read the
article.

In modern conditions, social media create an
environment in which the principles of interaction between people are
fundamentally changing. Today, everyone can instantly interact with a lot of
people via social media—which can have a significant effect on the reputation
of public companies and their quotes.

First
calls, and dive deep into the story

The first case that exposed the potential threat
of social media to the financial industry occurred in 2013. At 1:08 p.m. on 23
April, a fake tweet from a hacked Associated Press account stated, ‘Two
explosions at the U.S. White House, Barack Obama injured.’ Stock prices
immediately plummeted, wiping out the value of the S&P 500 by more than
0.9%, or $130 billion, in less than three minutes. This was the first such case
on Twitter, and as is often the case on Twitter, it was brief and superficial.
The Associated Press itself was quick to clarify the false nature of these
messages, and the White House confirmed it, and the markets recovered the next
day.

Social
media as a political tool

Another striking example of the impact on
financial markets through Twitter is the messages of the former U.S. President,
Donald Trump. He used his Twitter account to report crucial economic news and
repeatedly threaten Chinese officials with tariff hikes, at times causing
market and investment turmoil.

According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, U.S.
stocks have tended to fall on days when Trump tweets more than 35 times and
rise on days when he tweets less than five times. JPMorgan even created ‘Volfefe
Index’, playing off
Trump’s viral typo ‘covfefe’ he tweeted in
2017, to track market movements in response to the president’s social media
activity. During Donald Trump’s most significant social media activity,
JPMorgan noted that ‘tweets have
increasingly moved U.S. rates markets immediately after publication.’

‘There
is indeed a correlation between trader sentiment, which can be evaluated based
on tweets, and market movements—a 1% increase in the ’negative sentiment‘
indicator is followed by a 0.03% drop in the exchange rate,’ said Kar Yong Ang,
the Octa financial market analyst. ‚However, the effect does not last more than
an hour—the tool is therefore unsuitable for longer-term forecasts,‘ he added.

During Donald Trump’s presidency, major
financial conglomerates created particular indices that tracked the correlation
between his tweets and volatility in the U.S. stock market. Now, updating of
these indices is on hold as it has been almost three years since Trump last
tweeted about the news and the economy as a U.S. president.

Previous presidents have not maintained the same
social media presence—and some critics suggest that Trump’s tweets have put
inappropriate pressure on politically independent bodies such as the Fed. It
all resulted in a permanent erosion of central bank independence during Trump’s
term, as investors no longer perceive the Federal Reserve as independent of the
executive branch.

This reinforces that a strong media personality
is an opinion leader and can influence capital markets.

The
impact of social media on cryptocurrency prices

The rise of cryptocurrencies has become a big
deal in recent years, and it’s impossible to overlook how social media affect
market patterns and price movements. Social media has played a significant role
in encouraging the use of cryptocurrencies for payments. Users often share
information about the latest market trends and developments on prominent
cryptocurrency discussion sites, including X (former Twitter) and Reddit.

Influencers in the cryptocurrency space often
have a significant effect on the value of cryptocurrencies, especially minor
altcoins, as followers value their opinions and may decide to invest in
specific cryptocurrencies due to their advice. However, it can also lead to
market manipulation and ‘pump and dump’ scams, where
influencers artificially increase the price of a cryptocurrency before selling
their assets profitably.

Memes are another way social media influences
cryptocurrency prices and market movements. On social media, memes are a common
way of communicating, and memes about cryptocurrencies have been viral in
recent years. For example, the famous ‘To the Moon’
meme is used to convey enthusiasm about the potential of a particular
cryptocurrency.

While memes may seem like innocent
entertainment, they can have a big impact on the value of cryptocurrency. A
certain cryptocurrency may rise in value because of the hype that memes can
generate. However, if the fundamentals behind the enthusiasm are strong, the
promotion may only last for a while, and prices may plummet.

As we can see, the penetration of social media
in the financial world is intense and is only getting stronger every year. In
addition to classical fundamental and technical analysis, a third dimension is
emerging, through which it is possible to track short-term price changes and
use this information as an additional investing opportunity.

About
Octa

Octa is an international broker that has been providing
online trading services worldwide since 2011. It offers commission-free access
to financial markets and various services already utilised by clients from 180
countries with more than 42 million trading accounts. Free educational
webinars, articles, and analytical tools they provide help clients reach their
investment goals.

The company is involved in a comprehensive network of
charitable and humanitarian initiatives, including the improvement of
educational infrastructure and short-notice relief projects supporting local
communities.

Octa has also won more than 60 awards since its
foundation, including the ‚Best Educational Broker 2023‘ award from Global
Forex Awards and the ‚Best Global Broker Asia 2022‘ award from International
Business Magazine.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar steady awaiting more US data this week 0 (0)

Headlines:

Markets:

  • NZD leads on the day
  • European equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.3%
  • US 10-year yields up 0.6 bps to 4.197%
  • Gold down 0.4% to $2,166.93
  • WTI crude up 0.9% to $79.95
  • Bitcoin down 0.4% to $72,846

It was a quiet session in Europe as traders seem content to sit on their hands ahead of the next set of US data releases this week.

Major currencies were a bore with the dollar keeping rather flattish across the board. USD/JPY was a little higher around 147.90 levels early on but is now trading back to near unchanged levels at 147.75 on the day.

Besides that, there really isn’t much to comment as the narrow ranges are leaving a lot to be desired thus far.

In the equities space, European indices are still rampaging through with French stocks leading the charge. The CAC 40 is crossing the 8,200 mark for the first time with the DAX also looking to keep above the 18,000 level today.

US futures are also slightly buoyed, with S&P 500 futures up 0.3% and Nasdaq futures up 0.4% currently.

In other markets, bonds are also still in deep slumber today while precious metals are down slightly after a surging run higher yesterday.

Let’s see what how markets will take to the US data later as that will set the tone before we get to the end of the week.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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DeFi: Learn More About Decentralized Finance 0 (0)

Decentralized Finance, commonly referred to as DeFi, is a
revolutionary movement within the financial industry that leverages blockchain technology to eliminate intermediaries and central
authorities from financial transactions. This innovative ecosystem comprises
various financial services including lending, borrowing, trading, investment, and
insurance, accessible to anyone with an internet connection.

Core Principles of DeFi

DeFi is built on several core principles:

  • Permissionless: Unlike traditional finance, there are no gatekeepers
    in DeFi. Anyone with a wallet and an internet connection can participate
    without needing approval from a central authority.
  • Transparency: All transactions in DeFi are recorded on a public
    blockchain, making them transparent and verifiable by anyone at any time.
  • Interoperability: Many DeFi applications are built on compatible
    platforms that enable them to work together seamlessly, creating complex
    financial services.
  • Programmability: Advanced smart contracts automate transactions and
    enforce agreements without the need for intermediaries.

How DeFi Works

At the heart of DeFi are smart contracts, which are
self-executing contracts with the terms directly written into code. These smart
contracts run on blockchain networks like Ethereum, forming the backbone of
DeFi applications (dApps).

Example of a DeFi Application:

  1. Lending Platforms: Users can lend their cryptocurrency and earn interest
    without the need for a bank. Borrowers can take out loans by providing
    collateral.
  2. Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs): Allow users to trade cryptocurrencies without relying
    on a central entity to hold their funds. Trades are executed directly
    between users‘ wallets.
  3. Yield Farming and Liquidity
    Mining: Incentive mechanisms where
    users provide liquidity to a DeFi protocol in exchange for rewards,
    typically in the form of the protocol’s native token.
  4. Stablecoins: Digital currencies pegged to assets like USD,
    providing a stable medium of exchange within the volatile crypto market.

Tips for Engaging with DeFi

  • Understand the Risks: DeFi protocols are subject to code vulnerabilities,
    hacks, and scams. Always do your due diligence before participating.
  • Start Small: Begin with a small amount of money that you can afford
    to lose until you become more familiar with the DeFi space.
  • Keep Learning: DeFi is an evolving field. Continuously educate
    yourself about new projects and technologies.
  • Use Reputable Wallets: Stick to well-known and secure wallets to interact
    with DeFi applications.
  • Be Aware of Gas Fees: Transactions on blockchain networks, like Ethereum,
    require fees. Be mindful of these when making transactions as they can
    vary widely.
  • Consider the Impact of
    Impermanent Loss: For
    liquidity providers, be aware that if the price of deposited assets
    changes compared to when they were deposited, you may experience
    impermanent loss.
  • Secure Your Investments: Use hardware wallets for higher security and ensure
    your investments are protected from unauthorized access.

By embracing these tips and staying informed, you can
navigate the DeiFi landscape more safely and make the most of what
decentralized finance has to offer. The shift towards DeFi represents not just
a technological change but also a cultural shift toward more open and inclusive
financial systems. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or a curious newcomer,
understanding DeFi could be critical to managing your digital finances in the
future.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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FX muted awaiting more US data later in the day 0 (0)

Considering how much emphasis markets have been placing on big data in recent months, this isn’t much of a surprise. Major currencies are relatively muted in trading today with dollar pairs seeing light changes overall. USD/JPY did nudge a little higher to near 148.00 but is still finding it tough to get past the figure level. The pair is now flat, similar to most other dollar pairs on the day:

After a strong showing yesterday, gold is down slightly to just under $2,170. But in the commodities space, keep an eye out on copper as it looks like it has finally broken out in trading this week.

Meanwhile, equities are slightly higher with US futures also keeping some slight optimism after the retreat yesterday. As for bonds, things are also fairly muted so far on the session.

All eyes are now on more US data to follow as we will have retail sales, PPI, and the weekly jobless claims to work through.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Dow Jones Technical Analysis 0 (0)

Yesterday, the Dow Jones ended the day around the
highs as the market continues to look through the beat in the US CPI report.
As previously mentioned, the path of least resistance looks to be to the upside
as long as growth remains pretty much stable, and the Fed doesn’t restart
tightening. In the first case, the labour market will need to keep on being
resilient, while in the second case, inflation should not start trending higher
so much that the Fed is forced to change course.

Dow Jones Technical
Analysis – Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that the Dow Jones broke
out of the rising wedge to the
downside recently. This opened the door for a bigger correction into the 38043
level, but the sellers failed to keep the momentum going and the buyers
eventually managed to invalidate the setup by pushing the price above the
bottom trendline. The bias
has turned bullish once again, so we can expect the buyers to pile in now and
target a new all-time high.

Dow Jones Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see that
the price managed to break above the downward trendline and the bottom
trendline of the wedge. Moreover, the moving averages
crossed back to the upside signalling a change in momentum. This is where we
can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below the downward
trendline to position for new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want
to see the price falling back below the trendlines to position for a drop into
the 38043 level.

Dow Jones Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see more
closely the recent price action with the break above the trendline and the
retest. We now have a strong support zone
around the 38950 level where we can find the confluence with
the red 21 moving average, the 38.2% Fibonacci
retracement
level and the previous swing level. This
is where the buyers will look to buy from to target new highs, while the
sellers will want to see a break to the downside to position for new lows.

Upcoming Events

Today we get the US PPI, the US Retail Sales and the
US Jobless Claims figures. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the University
of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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Learn More About PEPE on Binance 0 (0)

Binance, the global cryptocurrency exchange, has witnessed the ebbs and flows of hundreds of
cryptocurrencies. One of the more unique entries into the crypto space is PEPE
– a digital asset that has garnered attention for reasons beyond its financial
potential.

What is PEPE?

PEPE is typically a meme-inspired cryptocurrency, not unlike
Dogecoin or Shiba Inu. Meme coins often gain popularity through social media
hype and community-driven movements. They usually feature the likeness of
popular internet memes; in this case, it’s „Pepe the Frog,“ a
character that has become an internet sensation over many years.

Understanding the Market Sentiment

Before diving deep into investments like PEPE, it’s crucial
to understand market sentiment. Cryptocurrencies can be incredibly volatile, and meme coins, in particular,
are heavily influenced by social factors and trending news. Research the
current sentiment around PEPE: Are there influencers talking about it? What’s
the community engagement like? Has it been listed recently on other exchanges
besides Binance?

Tips for Trading PEPE on Binance

  1. Stay Updated: Follow Binance announcements and social media
    channels. Be aware of any news related to PEPE that could affect its
    price.
  2. Understand Volatility: Meme coins can experience intense volatility. Never
    invest more than you can afford to lose.
  3. Use Tools Wisely: Take advantage of Binance’s trading tools. Use
    stop-loss orders to minimize risks and take-profit orders to secure your
    earnings when trading PEPE.
  4. Research Thoroughly: Don’t just rely on hype. Do your due diligence by
    researching PEPE’s whitepaper, understanding its use-case (if any), and
    examining the team behind it.
  5. Community Engagement: Participate in online communities. The strength of
    its community can often be a strong indicator of a meme coin’s potential.
  6. Monitor Trends: Track online trends. A surge in online activity
    regarding PEPE can sometimes precede price movements.
  7. Be Skeptical of Pump and Dumps: Stay cautious as some groups might try to manipulate
    the price. Learn to differentiate genuine interest from manipulation
    attempts.
  8. Diversify Your Portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. If you decide
    to invest in PEPE, make sure it’s part of a diversified investment
    strategy.

Conclusion

PEPE on Binance represents a slice of the dynamic and often
unpredictable world of meme cryptocurrencies. It carries both opportunities and
risks, much like any speculative asset. By staying informed, using the right
tools, and approaching your trades with a mix of caution and insight, you can
navigate the PEPE markets on Binance with greater confidence. Remember,
investing in cryptocurrencies requires careful consideration and a willingness
to potentially face high levels of risk.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Yen falls as Ueda fails to convince, Bitcoin up again 0 (0)

Headlines:

Markets:

  • EUR leads, JPY lags on the day
  • European equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.1%
  • US 10-year yields up 0.9 bps to 4.164%
  • Gold up 0.3% to $2,162.53
  • WTI crude up 1.4% to $78.68
  • Bitcoin up 3.0% t o $73,195

The Japanese yen was an early mover in Asia as early indications showed that bigger firms are meeting demands in the spring wage negotiations. USD/JPY fell to a low of 147.23 before recovering to 147.60 ahead of European trading.

But as BOJ governor Ueda continued to offer little suggestion of an imminent policy shift next week, the yen fell further with USD/JPY moving back up to hit the 148.00 mark.

Outside of the yen, there was very little movement among major currencies. The dollar steadied as traders are settling down after the chaotic post-CPI reaction yesterday. EUR/USD is little changed at 1.0930 levels, stuck in a 20 pips range on the day. Meanwhile, other dollar pairs are rather flattish so there isn’t really much to scrutinise during the session.

This comes as the equities mood is also looking fairly tentative and muted. European indices are slightly higher, carrying the positive momentum from yesterday with the DAX and CAC 40 at fresh record highs. But US futures are little changed and that is not offering much for traders to work with for now.

The bond market is also looking rather lethargic, so that’s not helping either. Treasury yields are not budging after the rise yesterday though there is the 30-year notes auction to look out for later.

While traditional markets are not doing too much, Bitcoin surged higher to a fresh record high above $73,000 during the session. The brief drop under $70,000 yesterday is proving to be just another blip again as buyers continue to keep up the momentum.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 8 March +7.1% vs +9.7% prior 0 (0)

  • Prior +9.7%
  • Market index 201.5 vs 188.2 prior
  • Purchase index 147.7 vs 141.1 prior
  • Refinancing index 480.3 vs 428.1 prior
  • 30-year mortgage rate 6.84% vs 7.02% prior

The average rate of the most popular US home loan fell by 18 bps in the last week and that helped to see a resurgence in both purchases and refinancing activity. The latter in particular saw a big jump and helped with a modest rebound in mortgage applications, following a poor start to the year.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Learn more about Dogecoin 0 (0)

Dogecoin started as a joke, but it quickly became a popular cryptocurrency. It features the face of the Shiba Inu dog from the
„Doge“ meme as its logo and namesake. Created by Billy Markus and
Jackson Palmer in December 2013, Dogecoin was intended to be a fun, more
approachable form of cryptocurrency that could reach a broader demographic than
Bitcoin.

Key Features of Dogecoin:

  • Decentralized: Like most cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin operates on a
    decentralized network using blockchain technology.
  • Infinite Supply: Unlike Bitcoin, which is capped at 21 million coins,
    there is no maximum limit to the number of Dogecoins that can be produced.
  • Scrypt Algorithm: Dogecoin uses a proof-of-work Scrypt algorithm, which
    makes it less energy-intensive and faster to mine compared to Bitcoin’s
    SHA-256 algorithm.
  • Community-Focused: The Dogecoin community is known for its friendly and
    welcoming culture, often using the coin for tipping and charity events.

How to Obtain and Use Dogecoin

Buying Dogecoin:

To buy Dogecoin, you’ll need an account on a cryptocurrency
exchange that supports Dogecoin. Some well-known platforms include Binance,
Kraken, and Robinhood. After creating an account and verifying your identity,
you can purchase Dogecoin with fiat currency (like USD) or trade it with other
cryptocurrencies.

Mining Dogecoin:

You can also obtain Dogecoin through mining. This involves
using computer processing power to solve complex mathematical equations that
validate transactions. While it is possible to mine Dogecoin solo, joining a
mining pool can increase your chances of earning rewards.

Using Dogecoin:

Dogecoin can be used for peer-to-peer transactions, online
purchases where accepted, and as a tipping currency on social media platforms
to reward content creators.

Tips for Handling Dogecoin

  1. Secure Your Holdings: Store your Dogecoin in a secure wallet. Hardware
    wallets offer enhanced security, whereas software wallets provide
    convenience for regular transactions.
  2. Stay Updated: Keep abreast of the latest Dogecoin news and updates
    from reliable sources. Market conditions can change rapidly, and being
    well-informed will help you make better decisions.
  3. Understand Volatility: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Invest
    only what you can afford to lose, and don’t give in to the hype without
    doing your own research.
  4. Diversification: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversifying
    your portfolio can mitigate risks associated with the volatility of a
    single asset.
  5. Community Engagement: Being a part of the Dogecoin community can be
    rewarding. Engage in forums and social media to learn from other users‘
    experiences and contribute to charitable causes.
  6. Use Secure Exchanges: When buying or trading Dogecoin, use reputable
    exchanges with strong security measures to protect your assets.
  7. Be Wary of Scams: As with any investment, there’s a risk of fraud. Be
    cautious about unsolicited offers and too-good-to-be-true promises
    regarding Dogecoin investments.
  8. Understand Taxes: Cryptocurrency transactions can be taxable events.
    Keep records of your Dogecoin transactions to comply with tax regulations
    in your jurisdiction.

Dogecoin stands out for its unique blend of humor,
functionality, and community spirit. Whether you’re interested in investing or
simply participating in the community, understanding the ins and outs of
Dogecoin is key to making the most of this cryptocurrency. Always remember to
conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before getting
involved with Dogecoin or any cryptocurrency.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis 0 (0)

Yesterday, the Nasdaq Composite surged and ended
the day positive following the US CPI release.
Although the data beat expectations slightly, the market’s pricing for rate
cuts didn’t change much as the overall weaker data in February is giving the
market hope that the reacceleration in the prior months was transitory and that
inflation will not flare up again. Looking ahead we don’t have much key data
left before the FOMC meeting next week, but there are some expectations that
the Fed might sound less dovish following the two consecutive beats in the CPI
data and that could trigger some profit taking and defensive positioning into
the event.

Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that the Nasdaq
Composite yesterday bounced on the red 21 moving average and
rallied back to the highs. From a risk management perspective though, the
buyers will have a much better risk to reward setup around the 15876 level
where we can find the confluence of the trendline and the
red 21 moving average. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the
price breaking lower to invalidate the bullish setup and increase the bearish
bets into new lows.

Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see that
the price has been diverging with
the MACD for a
long time. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by
pullbacks or reversals. We can also notice that the price action formed what
looks like a rising wedge, so if
the price were to break below the trendline, the sellers will have much more
conviction to look for new lows with the base of the wedge at 14477 being the
ultimate target.

Nasdaq Composite
Technical Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the
latest rally into the all-time high diverged with the MACD. The target is
generally the base of the divergent formation, so this should confirm a
pullback into the major trendline where we can also find the 61.8% Fibonacci
retracement
level for confluence. What happens there
will be key as a break below the trendline could lead to a major correction.

Upcoming
Events

Tomorrow we get the US PPI, the US Retail Sales and the
US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the University
of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive