Key Observations

From the 240-Minute Chart:

1. VWAP Alignment and Price Position:
   • Today’s VWAP at 2672.7 aligns very closely with the previously naked VAL from December 9th (2672.4), reinforcing its role as strong support.
   • The current price at 2678.3 remains above VWAP, signaling slight bullish pressure.

2. Delta Analysis:

   • The most recent 240-minute bar (last green bar):
     • Shows a positive Delta Change (+1415) indicating strong buyer aggression.
     • Delta SL remains slightly negative (-1168), hinting at mixed follow-through near the high of the bar.
   • The upward delta momentum alongside price closing near its high shows cautious buyer control.

3. Volume and HVN:

   • The bar’s High Volume Node (HVN) sits well above VWAP, confirming buying acceptance above support.

4. Key Resistance Levels:

   • Price stalled around 2679.5, a local high.
   • Next magnets: 2690 (naked POC + Friday’s VWAP) and confluence near 2695-2697.

From the 30-Minute Chart:

1. Sideways Consolidation with Bullish Bias:

   • Price remains range-bound between 2670.5 (support) and 2679.5 (resistance).
   • However, VWAP slopes upward, suggesting mild bullish pressure.

2. Delta Progression (Last Bars):

   • 10:30-11:00: Positive Delta Change (+190) and price closing near its high.
   • 12:00-12:30: Continued small upward delta momentum (+262 cumulative delta).

3. Volume Confirmation:

   • Increasing buy volume shows that buyers are defending support near 2672.7.

4. Key Levels:

   • Immediate support at 2672.7 (VWAP) and 2670.5.
   • Resistance remains firm at 2679.5; clearing this could open the door to 2690 and 2695.

Summary:

• Support Zone: 2672.7 (VWAP) and 2672.4 (December 9 VAL).
• Resistance Levels: 2679.5, 2690, and 2695-2697 (confluence zone).
• Delta and Price: Positive delta and rising price suggest mild bullish continuation, but resistance at 2679.5 must be broken.

Outlook: A slight bullish bias, with a moderate likelihood of testing 2690 next if support holds at 2667, OTHERWISE BEARS GAIN CONTROL

How This AI Gold Prediction Works

The AI prediction leverages advanced order flow analysis and key price levels to assess the likely direction of gold futures. By analyzing volumetric charts (like the 240-minute and 30-minute charts provided) and incorporating Delta stats, volume, and price action around critical levels, the AI identifies areas of support, resistance, and potential reversals.

1. Volumetric Data:

   • Breaks down buying and selling activity within each bar (Buy Volume, Sell Volume, Delta SL, Delta Change).
   • Highlights buyer or seller dominance to determine momentum shifts.

2. Key Levels Integration:

   • Levels such as VWAP, Value Area High (VAH), Value Area Low (VAL), and Naked Points of Control (POC) act as magnets or barriers for price.
   • These levels, combined with delta progression, signal areas where traders may expect price reactions (e.g., reversals, consolidations, or breakouts).

3. Multi-Timeframe Analysis:

   • The 240-minute chart provides a broad view, showing dominant trends and larger support/resistance areas.
   • The 30-minute chart zooms into shorter-term movements, helping traders time entries and exits.

4. AI Scoring System:

   • The scoring ranges from -10 to +10 to quantify the strength and direction of the market bias.
   • The AI combines delta progression, price positioning, and confluence of levels to provide actionable predictions.

Why Traders and Investors Should Consider This

1. Data-Driven Insights:

   • The AI provides precise, unbiased predictions using objective data rather than subjective opinions.
   • Investors can make informed decisions backed by real-time volumetric analysis.

2. Identifying High-Probability Areas:

   • By focusing on key levels like VWAP, naked POCs, and areas of confluence (e.g., 2695-2697), traders can identify where price is most likely to react.
   • These levels serve as entry, exit, or stop-loss zones to maximize trade efficiency.

3. Anticipating Market Behavior:

   • Delta and volume analysis reveal whether buyers or sellers are in control.
   • For example, rising delta and price near support (like 2672.7) signal buyer strength, suggesting upward continuation.

4. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:

   • Combining longer-term (240-minute) trends with shorter-term (30-minute) patterns allows traders to align strategies for both swing and intraday trades.

5. Risk Management:

   • Key levels and volumetric stats help traders anticipate fakeouts and avoid being trapped by market makers, improving risk-reward ratios.

Conclusion

The AI gold prediction integrates sophisticated order flow data, critical levels, and a refined scoring system to provide actionable insights for traders and investors. By leveraging this method, traders can anticipate price behavior more accurately, identify high-probability opportunities, and make decisions with greater confidence.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.