the Nasdaq Composite didn’t move much although the market ended the day at the
lows. There was no catalyst to trigger a big move on either side, so we
continue to consolidate around these levels with the price slowly retreating
from the highs. The path of least resistance remains to the upside as the economic data points not only to resilience in the economy but
also a slight reacceleration in activity. The main risks for the market are
basically two: a reacceleration in inflation that forces the Fed to increase
interest rates or a hard landing.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, we can see that the Nasdaq
Composite continues to retreat after coming very close to the all-time high.
From a risk management perspective, the buyers will have a much better risk to
reward setup around the trendline where we
can also find the red 21 moving average for confluence. The
sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to
invalidate the bullish setup and position for a drop into the 15150 support.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe
On the 4 hour chart, we can see that
the price has been diverging with
the MACD for a
long time. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by
pullbacks or reversals. In this case, we got pullbacks into the bottom
trendline where the price kept on bouncing from as the buyers continued to pile
in. We can also notice that we might have formed a rising wedge right
at the all-time high. It will be important for the buyers to break out into new
highs as a break lower could trigger a selloff into the base of the wedge at
14477.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe
On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have
a support zone around the 15900 level where we can also find the 38.2%
Fibonacci retracement level for confluence. This is where we can expect the
buyers to pile in with a defined risk below the trendline to target a new
all-time high. The sellers, on the other hand, can only wait for a break below
the trendline to position for a bigger drop into the 14477 level.
Upcoming
Events
Today we get the release of the US Consumer
Confidence report. On Thursday, we will see the US PCE and the latest US
Jobless Claims figures. Finally, on Friday, we conclude the week with the US
ISM Manufacturing PMI.
This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.