NZDUSD Technical Analysis – The bearish bias remains intact

0
(0)

US:

  • The Fed left interest rates unchanged as
    expected.
  • The macroeconomic projections were revised higher
    as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot
    showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end
    of the year with less rate cuts in 2024.
  • Fed Chair Powell
    reaffirmed their data dependency but added that they will proceed carefully as
    they are trying to find the optimal level of rates. Powell also added that the
    soft landing is not the base case at the moment, although they are aiming for
    it.
  • The latest US CPI came
    in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same.
  • The labour market
    displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid as seen also
    yesterday with the strong beat in Jobless Claims.
  • The market doesn’t expect the Fed to hike again at
    the moment.

New Zealand:

  • The RBNZ kept its official cash rate unchanged at the
    last meeting while stating that it will remain at the restrictive level for the
    foreseeable future to ensure that inflation comes down back to target.
  • The recent New Zealand inflation and employment data surprised to the upside but
    the PMIs continue to slide further into contraction.
  • The wage growth has also missed
    expectations and it’s something that the central banks are watching closely.
  • The recent New Zealand Retail Sales beat expectations although the data
    remains deeply negative.
  • The RBNZ is expected to keep the
    cash rate steady at the next meeting.

NZDUSD Technical Analysis –
Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that NZDUSD has
finally pulled back all the way up to the 0.5987 resistance where it
sold off from following the more hawkish than expected FOMC dot plot. The price
action remains choppy, but the sellers should start coming back into the market
with strength unless the price breaks above the resistance invalidating the
bearish setup.

NZDUSD Technical Analysis –
4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see more closely the
strong selloff from the resistance. The price is currently pulling back. Things
are messy at the moment as there’s no clear divergence between central banks as
they are all moving to the sidelines and watching the tightening to day
filtering through the economies.

NZDUSD Technical Analysis –
1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we
have a minor resistance at the previous swing high with the 50% Fibonacci
retracement
level for confluence. This
is where the sellers should step in with a defined risk above the level and
target another selloff into the 0.5860 support. More conservative sellers might
want to wait for the price to break below the counter-trendline to
pile in and extend the fall into the support.

Upcoming Events

Today the biggest event
will be the Flash PMIs for the US.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive

Wie hilfreich war dieser Beitrag?

Klicke auf die Sterne um zu bewerten!

Durchschnittliche Bewertung 0 / 5. Anzahl Bewertungen: 0

Bisher keine Bewertungen! Sei der Erste, der diesen Beitrag bewertet.

Es tut uns leid, dass der Beitrag für dich nicht hilfreich war!

Lasse uns diesen Beitrag verbessern!

Wie können wir diesen Beitrag verbessern?