Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Hot PCE report lifts the dollar further 0 (0)

Markets:

  • WTI crude oil up 96-cents to $72.79
  • Gold up $6 to $1946
  • US 10-year yields flat at 3.81%
  • S&P 500 up 1.4%
  • GBP leads, JPY lags

The odds of a June Fed hike have risen to 70% from 50% today and that tells the story in FX, with the dollar gaining, though not exactly in a straightforward way. Both the pricing numbers and the consumption numbers were hot in the PCE data and the big winner was USD/JPY, which hit a new high for the year.

Initially it was a broad USD rally but it was more back-and-forth later as the market also weighed the stronger economic prospects. Flows into US tech are also a seemingly-unstoppable force as well, with the Nasdaq gaining another 2.2% on the AI boom.

The pound managed to hold off the US dollar but fell 90 pips from its highs before bouncing late.

Monday is a holiday in the US so there was some position squaring into the weekend, particularly in bonds as longs didn’t want to be caught offside on a debt ceiling deal and a wave of Treasury issuance. Yellen pushed back the deadline to at least June 5, so the charade may go on for another week.

The bigger story though is that the dollar appears to be breaking out on a number of fronts and there’s no US weakness yet in the data. Will next Friday’s non-farm payrolls report change that? Tune in to find out.

Have a good (long) weekend.

For those in the UK and US.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Yellen now estimates that debt limit won’t be hit until June 5 0 (0)

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has conjured a few extra days for US politicians to grandstand. She now says that extraordinary measures won’t be exhausted until at least June 5.

House Republican leader McCarthy has said his deadline is June 1 but you can never trust a politician.

In any case, a deal will get done and the US won’t default, the same as always. I think the market has already moved on.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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US stocks rip higher for the second day as Nasdaq closes at highest since August 0 (0)

There were non-stop flows into US stock markets on Friday, led by the Nasdaq:

  • S&P 500 +1.3%
  • Nasdaq Comp +2.2%
  • DJIA +1.0%
  • Russell 2000 +1.1%
  • Toronto TSX Comp +0.8%

On the week:

  • S&P 500 +0.3%
  • Nasdaq Comp +2.4%
  • Russell 2000 flat
  • Toronto TSX Comp -2.1%

Broadcom was a big winner on Friday, gaining 11% with Qualcom and Intel making some headway as the chip rally broadens out.

This is the fifth week in a row of gains for the Nasdaq and it’s very much looking like the double bottom in Oct/Dec was the low.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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