After dropping almost continuously for more than six months, you might think that EUR/USD is overdue a substantial rally. The problem is that it remains almost impossible to imagine a catalyst for …
Schlagwort-Archiv: Estimate
USD Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Dollar's Hawkish Path Is Not Necessarily a Bullish One
The US central bank announced a significant shift in its monetary policy stance to end 2021, but the ultimate impact of the more hawkish bearing seemed to barely register for the Dollar and risk as…
Bitcoin Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Macro Will Matter (More) To Bitcoin
The path forward has been anything but smooth as bitcoin investors have consistently weathered periods of gut-wrenching volatility. For some traders, this is an attractive feature of the asset, the…
Q1 2022 Fundamental and Technical Forecasts
Cross-asset fundamental and technical forecasts that will help traders navigate major markets in Q1 2022.
Gold Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Gold Fundamental Outlook Proves Mixed
While posting a modest positive performance in the final quarter of 2021, the shift by several central banks to begin withdrawing pandemic-era stimulus efforts had begun to weigh on longer-term inf…
AUD Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Central Banks Hold the Keys to Currency Direction
The Australian Dollar made a new low for the year in the fourth quarter, stopping short of the November 2020 low of 0.6991. It appears that the impact of commodity prices and long-term interest rat…
JPY Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: USD/JPY, Fed, Labor Market Eyed
The anti-risk Japanese Yen had a mixed performance against its major peers throughout the fourth quarter of 2021. It weakened against haven-oriented currencies, such as the US Dollar and Swiss Fran…
GBP Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Additional Bank of England Rate Hikes are on The Way
The Bank of England (BoE) started the cycle of tightening monetary policy by hiking the UK Base Rate by 15 basis points to 0.25%, the first-rate hike in over three years, at the last Monetary Polic…
Oil Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Crude to Avoid Bear Market as Supply Constraints Persist
The price of oil may face a bear market in the first quarter of 2022 as it falls nearly 20% from the 2021 high ($85.41).
Equities Q1 2022 Fundamental Forecast: Fed Policy is a Bigger Threat to Equities Than Omicron
As we close out the year, risks surrounding Fed policy have increased amid Washington’s concerns over inflation, which in turn has prompted the Fed to taper asset purchases at a quicker pace and pr…