Treasury yields rebound stalls to start the week, what’s next? 0 (0)

10-year Treasury yields fall back to 1.28% so far today
The bond market is at a crossroads now after the double-bottom rebound at 1.13% looks to be stalling at the critical 1.30% level as well as the 200-day moving average (purple line), after having seen a strong push on Friday following the NFP report.

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Fed on track to taper by year-end – UBS 0 (0)

UBS reacts to Friday’s solid non-farm payrolls report
The firm comments that:
“ Payrolls are 5.7 million below their pre-pandemic peak and that gap is narrowing month by month. The recent increase in COVID-19 case counts adds some uncertainty to the outlook, but we still expect strong job growth in the months ahead.“
Adding that by year-end, there should

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PBOC says will keep yuan exchange rate basically stable 0 (0)

PBOC remarks in its Q2 monetary policy implementation report
Those are the key points to note, which just reaffirms their policy stance over the past few months. When it comes to these, China tends to preempt any imminent changes so the repeat of the commentary above means no change is expected for now.

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Heads up: Fedspeak later in the day 0 (0)

A couple of Fed speakers on the agenda to start the new week
Here is the schedule:
1410 GMT – Atlanta Fed president, Raphael Bostic, to speak
Bostic will be sharing insights about building an inclusive society and inclusive economy through community collaboration in his today. Given the discussion topic, there shouldn’t be much pertaining to monetary policy

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US Senate inches ahead with infrastructure bill 0 (0)

A Saturday vote in the US Senate, 67-27 vote in favour of a move to limit debate on the legislation
Negotiations continue on amendments and there are some pundits suggesting work on the legislation could be completed Saturday night Washington time. Senate Majority Leader Schumer says he will keep the Senate working until there is a vote on

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China July trade balance due Saturday 7 August 2021 (approx 0300 GMT) 0 (0)

The Chinese trade data for July 2021 will be released on Saturday (China time).
I was expecting it on Friday (yesterday), nope. 
In USD terms:Goldman Sachs say exports from, and imports into, China in July will be down on June due to adverse weather („A typhoon around Yangtze River Delta“) and port disruptions. 

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