Weekly forex futures positioning data from the CFTC for the week ending Tuesday, February 9, 2020
– EUR long 140K vs 137K long last week. Longs increased by 3K
It only took them about a year since the pandemic to get this settled
The €672.5 billion recovery fund got the go-ahead from parliament yesterday and has been signed today. As much as von der Leyen that they are going to move „swiftly“ with this, waiting another few months before the initial funds are disbursed is
FTSE 250
There are a number of reasons that the FTSE 250 may outperform the FTSE 100. They include the following reasons:
Insert UK vaccination speed
So, this means the FTSE 250 could be a decent buy between now and the start of June. An ETF could be a good way to expose yourself to this trade.
GBP
The last Bank of England rate meeting was always going to be about one thing; would the bank walk towards or away from negative interest rates? Since the start of the year Governor Bailey’s comments had been interpreted as walking back market expectation from the Bank using negative interest rates. The fact that the UK
S&P 500 futures down 0.5% now
Meanwhile, European equities are also keeping lower with the DAX down 0.6% and other indices are also trading thereabouts on the session currently.
Office for National Statistics
However, with the UK having vaccinated around 20% of their population these furloughed workers will be able to spend their savings made during teh lockdown and boost the economy. Expect that to boost the GBP, the FTSE100, but the FTSE250 most of all due to its balance of financial and service sector
UK ahead of the curve
Israel, UAE, and UK leading the charge in the vaccination race. Further good news for the FTSE100 and the GBP this year (post Brexit boost) the quicker this continues.
They didn’t say stop, they didn’t say go
Major pairs very flat, but that is unsurprising given the lack of economic data this week.
Good time to do a bit of learning. Check out the link below:
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