St Louis Fed President James Bullard dissented in Wednesday’s decision. He called for a 50 bps hike and also wanted to start trimming the balance sheet. He noted that the economy will grow above trend in 2022 and 2023 and further strengthen a jobs market that’s „already stronger than it’s

USD/JPY has found a fresh bid despite the malaise in Treaasuries today. The pair is up 48 pips to 119.08 in a broadening dollar rebound. That’s just shy of the post-Fed high of 119.12.
A break of that would be a fresh high since 2016 and a close above would confirm the break of the late-2016 high. I

There are some interesting comments out from Eurasia Group analyst Mujtaba Rahman today, citing ’senior EU officials‘.
He said there is no appetite among European states for energy import bans, with the exception of Poland and Baltic states. That could change if there are chemical or nucle

WTI crude oil is up $1.75 today to $104.80. It had earlier been as high as $106.28.There’s plenty of talk about OPEC pumping more but there’s a decent case that OPEC doesn’t have as much spare capacity as it claims. Two OPEC+ sources cited by Reuters said compliance with oil production cuts rose to

Prior 0.50%Bank rate vote 8-1 (Cunliffe dissented in favour of maintaining bank rate at 0.50%)Some further modest tightening might be appropriate in the coming monthsThere are risks on both sides of policy judgment depending on how inflation prospects evolveExpects Q1 GDP to rise by around 0.75% q/q

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Headlines:Russia says that it is putting more energy into peace talks than Ukraine isRussia says that talks with Ukraine are continuingUK military intelligence: Russian invasion of Ukraine has largely stalled on all frontsECB’s Lagarde: Inflation increasingly likely to stabilise at 2% target over me

The post-Fed volatility is continuing to play out as equities start to push lower on the day now. S&P 500 futures are down 0.5% while European indices are also turning red on the day. The DAX is down 0.9% currently after a more optimistic open earlier.
The dollar is also making back some ground agai

The headline remark is from its deputy industry minister. That’s not a normal comment to make and it comes at a time when markets are particularly sensitive to all of this with the whole supply chain crisis and geopolitical feud between Russia and Ukraine.

Headlines:Lavrov: Peace talks with Ukraine aren’t easy but there is certain hope for compromiseIEA says 3 mil bpd of Russian oil could be shut in from April as sanctions biteNickel trading reopens on LME, hits 5% lower limitChinese equities bounce back strongly on the dayChina vice premier Liu He: M