The Impact of China’s Zero-Covid Policy on the Economy 0 (0)

At the
annual meeting of the Communist Party of China last year, there were a few key
points. I interpreted the content as seeking „stability“. Why do I
say seeking stability?  What’s the point?

 

The first
point of the two major points mentioned at the annual meeting is that the
demand is decl

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SNB says successfully tested use of digital currency to settle transactions with top investment banks 5 (1)

The latest trial could see the introduction of central bank digital currency move a step closer in Switzerland. The SNB says that they integrated the digital currencies into payment systems and used them in simulated transactions involving UBS, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup.The test sh

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Cryptocurrencies Rebounded as Part of a General Downward Trend 0 (0)

The value of
the cryptocurrency market rose almost 3% over the past 24 hours to 2.07
trillion. Exceeding the psychologically important circular mark pulled demand
for coins outside the top 10.

 

Separately,
bitcoin enjoyed demand from the pull into risky assets in traditional financial
markets a

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US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 7 January +1.4% vs -5.6% prior 0 (0)

Prior -5.6%Market index 580.6 vs 572.8 priorPurchase index 283.4 vs 277.3 priorRefinancing index 2,349.8 vs 2,351.3 prior30-year mortgage rate 3.52% vs 3.33% priorDespite a 19 bps jump in the long-term rate to 3.52% – the highest since March 2020 – mortgage applications were higher in the past week

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A look back at markets when US inflation was at 7% the last time 5 (1)

Yes, it has been that long and pandemic aside, we would not be here awaiting a 7% print in US CPI later today.So, how did markets look like back then?

10-year Treasury yields were at 14%
S&P 500 index was at 110
Gold was at $350
USD/JPY was at 250

In the context of today’s leve

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Eurozone November industrial production +2.3% vs +0.5% m/m expected 0 (0)

Prior +1.1%; revised to -1.3%Industrial production -1.5% vs +0.6% y/y expectedPrior +3.3%; revised to +0.2%The headline reading is not as great as what the details might suggest. The October reading was sharply revised lower to a decline of 1.3% from a growth of 1.1% previously. That also left a dra

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Fed’s Bostic: If things continue the way they are, March would be reasonable to start hiking rates 5 (1)

Sees at least three rate hikes this yearMarch is a reasonable date to start rate hike, balance sheet runoff should begin „soon after“There is a risk inflation is likely to be elevated for extended period of timeFed needs to respond directly, clearly, and aggressivelyA fast balance sheet runoff would

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US December NFIB small business optimism index 98.9 vs 98.4 prior 0 (0)

Prior 98.4That’s a modest increase in small business sentiment last month despite growing concerns on inflation and worker shortages. The survey also showed that the share of owners raising average selling prices fell slightly from 59% to 57% in December. So, that is perhaps a signal that businesses

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