JP Morgan: There is about a one-third chance of a no-deal Brexit happening 0 (0)

JP Morgan analyst, Malcolm Barr, remarks in a research note to clients
The firm says that it would be a surprise if there was enough progress made to bring about an agreement by the end of October, though chances of a no-deal Brexit materialising is about one third in their view:

Go to Forexlive

Dollar continues to firm ahead of North American trading 0 (0)

The greenback leads gains in the major currencies space
Stocks are up on the day but the dollar is also up as the pullback momentum from yesterday extends into the new trading day today. The dollar held its ground in early European trading but is gradually pushing higher now as we look towards US trading.

Go to Forexlive

China says that will keep prudent monetary policy appropriate and flexible 0 (0)

Comments by China’s Cabinet via state media
– Says will not resort to flood-like stimulus
– Will guide more credit to the real economy
This just reaffirms their current policy stance and that hasn’t changed as they continue to deal with the fallout from the virus outbreak. There are some concerns surrounding domestic credit conditions in China but

Go to Forexlive

US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 28 August -2.0% vs -6.5% prior 0 (0)

Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 28 August 2020
–  -6.5%
– Market index 755.1 vs 770.6 prior
– Refinancing index 3,316.2 vs 3,423.0 prior
A slight drop in mortgage applications in the past week with purchases and refinancing activity both seeing weakening a touch, despite the long-term rate falling another 3 bps to 3.08%

Go to Forexlive

Fed’s Barkin: Labour market recovery has been slower than anticipated 0 (0)

Richmond Fed president, Thomas Barkin, remarks in a WSJ interview
– Fed will need to continue to provide significant, sustained support
– Economy faces a slowing labour market recovery
The remarks on the slower recovery aren’t anything new but certainly sets up a renewed focus on labour market data, particularly after Powell’s speech from last week.

Go to Forexlive

Eurozone August preliminary CPI -0.2% vs +0.2% y/y expected 0 (0)

Latest data released by Eurostat – 1 September 2020
The ECB may still afford to wait for now before reacting but a more severe drop in price pressures and inflation expectations potentially deanchoring may prompt some form of action. If anything else, don’t expect them to be too happy with a rising euro.

Go to Forexlive