The @Newsquawk US Market opening note and podcast 0 (0)

US Market Open: Constructive risk sentiment though action is choppy, GBP bid as Johnson to resign

Full note

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.

Click below to read the full report and listen to the guys doing the podcast.

5 Things You Need to Know

  • European bourses are firmer across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.5%, in a continuation of the constructive APAC handover though action remains choppy.
  • Bourses, and US futures, were bolstered amid reports that China is considering USD 220bln of stimulus with unprecedented bond sales, via BBG.
  • DXY takes a reprieve and resided sub-107.00 with antipodeans leading on sentiment and GBP bid amid the looming resignation of PM Johnson
  • Reports on this dented Gilts, though the complex more broadly was briefly hit on the China stimulus headline
  • Senior US State Department Official says no announcement on China tariffs is expected from Secretary of State Blinken at his meeting with China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi

This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive

S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) Analysis, 7 July. Targeting a Better Entry. 0 (0)

  • S&P Futures continues to look okay for the bulls but in this jittery market where close stops can easily be hit, and mediocre entry prices are exposed to choppy price action, we focus today on targeting a more attractive entry to our Long.
  • See 3 trade ideas in the video and understand the technical logic behind the location of the stop loss, the take profit target and the reward vs risk
  • Note the 2 price ranges in today’s technical analysis and see how we use them as anchors for our trades. Our video today provides a view and, still, bullish bias, for the Emini, as well as focuses on targeting a more attractive entry to your Long, or where existing Long trades may consider adding to their existing position
  • Remember that in trading, and especially in trading futures, there is always a price to pay as we aim to gain a benefit. In this case, the lower entry price for our Long is not just handed to us for free. The risk is that the buy order will not get filled.
  • Watch the following video and trade the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) at your own risk

Futher to the above video analysis, on the daily timeframe, watch for the S&P Futures or S&P Index (SPX) during normal trading hours, to possibly close the gap, in the near future, perhaps this week, reaching 3896.50.

S&P 500 Futures Analysis. Close this Gap on the Daily Chart?

Visit ForexLive.com for technical analysis perspectives on futures and more.

    This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    British PM Johnson: My job is to ‚keep going‘ 0 (0)

    British Prime Minister Boris Johnson defied growing calls for him to step down on Wednesday, telling lawmakers he would „keep going“.

    „The job of a prime minister in difficult circumstances when you’ve been handed a colossal mandate is to keep going,“ Johnson told parliament. „And that’s what I’m going to do.“

    The tick is buried deep!

    The market now makes it a 91% chance that Boris Johnson is done as PM this year.

    FWIW – in my useless opinion, I reckon Boris stays. If only to p*ss everyone off.

    This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    Promotion For $1,200,000 From RoboForex 0 (0)

    RoboForex,
    an international financial broker, launches a new global promotion for its
    clients and partners to celebrate the company’s 12th birthday. The promotion
    will start on 1 July 2022 and will last until April 2023. The total prize pool
    is $1,200,000.

     

    64
    money prizes for the total sum of $1,200,000 will be given away within 10
    months from July 2022 up to and including April 2023. The prize money will be
    available for withdrawal without any additional conditions right after it is
    transferred to a winner’s account, or clients can use it as a deposit on their
    trading account – they are free of their choice.

     

    Robert
    Stephenson, Chief Business Officer at RoboForex, is commenting: “We’re carrying
    on our recent tradition and launching the global promotion again this year on
    the occasion of the company’s 12th birthday. We’ve increased the total prize
    pool and the number of prizes – 64 prizes from $1,000 to $20,000 will be given
    away each month. We wish all participants good luck!”.

     

    The
    prizes are distributed among clients with winning Coupons, which can be
    received for trading on RoboForex accounts or attracting new clients to the
    company as its partner. A participant can receive up to three Coupons in
    different categories each month.

     

    Categories for
    receiving Coupons

     

    1. Trading on Prime accounts

     

    Prime
    is an account type with the best trading conditions available at the company:
    spreads from 0 pips, $10 commission for the trading volume of $1 million, and
    the leverage value up to 1:300.

     

    Conditions
    for receiving a Coupon:

     

    ·     
    Deposit at least $300 to your account

    ·     
    Perform at least 3* lots of trading operations per
    month

     

    *
    – Only the positions in currency pairs and metals opened in the current month
    are taken into account

     

    [Open Prime account]

     

    2. Attracting new clients as a RoboForex partner

     

    RoboForex
    partners have the opportunity to earn up to 84% of the broker’s revenue.

     

    Conditions
    for receiving a Coupon:

     

    Partner
    commission at month-end is at least $300

     

    [Become partner]

     

    3. CopyFX Traders

     

    CopyFX
    is an investment platform that allows you to receive a commission from other
    traders for copying your transactions.

     

    Conditions
    for receiving a Coupon:

     

    Make
    the Top 30 of the best CopyFX Traders on Prime accounts in the current month

     

    [Open CopyFX Prime account]

     

    More
    detailed information on the conditions and how to receive a Coupon can be found
    on the RoboForex website.

     

    Coupons
    are already being granted! Join the promotion right now and take part in all
    giveaways each month. Good luck!

    This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    U.S. MBA Mortgage Application Activity Index WoW Act: -5.4% Prev: 0.7% 0 (0)

    U.S. MBA Mortgage Application Activity Index WoW Act: -5.4% Prev: 0.7%

    Mortgage Purchase Index (SA) Act: 232.6 Prev: 243.1

    MBA 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Interest Rate Act: 5.74% Prev: 5.84%

    US Mortgage Purchase Index Falls 4.3 Percent To 232.6 In July 1 Week

    This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    Over 2% of global freight capacity at standstill in North Sea -Germany’s IfW institute 0 (0)

    More than 2% of global freight capacity is at a standstill in the North Sea, an expert from Germany’s IfW economic institute said, a „very unusual“ situation for the ports there.

    „There is currently no end in sight to the congestion in container shipping,“ said IfW’s Vincent Stamer, adding that traffic jams were also growing outside Chinese ports.

    „For Germany and the EU, this affects overseas trade in particular, especially with Asia, where consumer electronics, furniture and textiles, for example, are shipped from.“

    So much for the light at the end of the supply-chain tunnel! 

    This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    In terms of technical levels, it doesn’t get any bigger than this: Euro threatens 1.0350 0 (0)

    The low in May was 1.0350 and the low in January 2017 was 1.0340.

    Both of those critical levels are under heavy pressure at the moment as a broad US dollar bid emerges. A breakdown would be the lowest in the euro since 2003.

    Today’s PMIs emphasize the growing risk of a recession in the eurozone. The dollar is broadly bid today but the euro is particularly soft as German 10-year yields fall 7 bps.

    In terms of technical levels, it doesn’t get any bigger than this.

    The low so far is 1.0352 in a quick fall from 1.0432 just over an hour ago.

    This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive

    Key Trading Levels For The Week Ahead – AUDJPY, AUDUSD, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPJPY, and GBPUSD 0 (0)

    Watch the video for the key trading levels
    for the week ahead for AUDJPY, AUDUSD, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPJPY, and GBPUSD.

    Last week AUDJPY, AUDUSD, EURJPY, EURUSD,
    GBPJPY, and GBPUSD all finished down for the week. The first trading day of
    July was very negative across all these pairs with AUDUSD closing below the
    0.6826 monthly support level.

    AUDJPY Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 90.72 and 90.29,
    resistance at 97.29.

    Weekly support at 87.28, resistance at
    94.31, 95.73, and 96.87.

    Daily support at
    91.95 and 91.16, resistance at 92.64 and 94.02.

    Price
    declined down from the 94.02-31 daily/weekly resistance area last week. Will price continue to decline and retest the 90.72-29 monthly
    support levels this week?

    AUDJPY daily chart 03-July-2022

    AUDUSD Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 0.6722 and 0.6671,
    resistance at 0.6826, 0.6967, and 0.6991.

    Weekly support at 0.6722, resistance at
    0.6828.

    Daily support at 0.6722, resistance at
    0.6850 and 0.6869.

    Price broke below the 0.6826 monthly
    support level last week. Will price continue to decline and test the 0.6722 and
    0.6671 monthly support levels this week?

    AUDUSD daily chart 03-July-2022

    EURJPY Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 137.49 and 134.12,
    resistance at 141.04 and 145.68.

    Weekly support at 139.99 and 137.52,
    resistance at 144.24.

    Daily support at 139.38 and 138.31,
    resistance at 141.39.

    Price formed a triple top at the 144.24
    weekly resistance level last week. Will price continue to decline and retest
    the 138.31 daily support level this week?

    EURJPY daily chart 03-July-2022

    EURUSD Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 1.0340, resistance at
    1.0462, 1.0522, and 1.0635.

    Weekly support at 1.0349, resistance at
    1.0727 and 1.0787.

    Daily support at 1.0359, resistance at
    1.0469, 1.0601, and 1.0627.

    Price declined down from the 1.0601 daily
    resistance level last week. Will price continue to decline and test the 1.0340
    monthly support level this week?

    EURUSD daily chart 03-July-2022

    GBPJPY Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 158.21, resistance at
    168.01.

    Weekly support at 159.98 and 158.06,
    resistance at 168.42 and 168.72.

    Daily support at 161.85 and 161.00,
    resistance at 164.64 and 166.93.

    Price declined below the 164.64 daily
    support level last week. Will price continue to decline and test the 159.98
    weekly support level this week?

    GBPJPY daily chart 03-July-2022

    GBPUSD Daily chart:

    Monthly support at 1.1986, 1.1958, and
    1.1645.

    Weekly support at 1.2074 and 1.1933,
    resistance at 1.2155, 1.2195, 1.2251, and 1.2667.

    Daily support at 1.1933, resistance at
    1.2161, 1.2332, and 1.2407.

    Price declined and retested the 1.1986
    monthly support level last week. Will price continue to decline and test the
    1.1933 weekly support level this week?

    GBPUSD daily chart 03-July-2022

    This content may have been written by a
    third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability
    as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss
    arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other
    information supplied by any third-party. This content is information only, and
    does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can
    rely.

    This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

    Go to Forexlive