• German economy to grow modestly in Q2
• Easing supply bottlenecks, fall in energy prices to support industry recovery
• This should also support exports, especially since global economy has regained some momentum
• Private consumption still likely to stagnate
• Price growth to fall only very gradually in the months ahead

Well, from the PMI data we can identify the contrast between the manufacturing and services sectors in Germany. The former is suffering but is marginally offset by a rather robust performance in the latter. At best, there might be modest growth but at the balance, we might just see another flat performance in Q2 for Germany.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

• Prior -20

The order book balance is still rather subdued, even if the headline reading is a three-month high. It is still tracking below the historic average of -13 with export order balance falling sharply to -26 from -9 in the previous month. That said, UK manufacturers are at least expecting to raise prices by the smallest margin since March 2021. However, the price increases will still be much faster than the long-run average.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.