China and Germany have agreed to step up coordination in the multilateral field.

Underscores the importance of Germany-China ties.

To undermine the one-China principle is to undermine the international system with the United Nations at its core.

On the Ukraine crisis, creating conditions for a political solution is the way out of the crisis.

This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

Key Points:

European bourses & US futures are softer as the region struggles for a foothold after mixed APAC trade and ahead of Fed/debt ceiling events

USD picks up against peers ex-JPY as yields ease from best while AUD retreats after Chinese imports declined unexpectedly

Yellen reiterates the Treasury could run out of cash as soon as June 1st, with the Bipartisan centre expecting the x-date between early-June to August

Fixed benchmarks have been choppy but are firmer overall with Bunds bolstered on strong supply and USTs near highs

Commodities are, broadly speaking, pressured as the USD picks up and after Chinese trade data

Looking ahead, highlights include ECB’s Lane & Schnabel, Fed’s Williams & Jefferson, Biden meeting Congressional Leaders. Supply from the US, Earnings from Airbnb & Occidental Petroleum.

This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

Inflation is becoming increasingly stubborn.

Our job on inflation isn’t complete yet. We need to see change in core inflation.

The aim is returning inflation to 2% with soft landing. Avoiding a recession is possible.

More interest-rate hikes will be required.

This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.

On the daily chart below for
AUDUSD, we can see that after bouncing from the bottom of the range at 0.6563,
the market rallied towards the top where it found resistance again from the
38.2% Fibonacci
retracement level. The price has been stuck in this range for
3 months already as the market remains uncertain on what’s next amid
contradictory economic data. At the moment, the market expects the Fed to pause
in June and start cutting rates before the end of the year. So, the buyers
should remain in control as long as the data confirms this outcome, but if the
data continues to point to a more hawkish path, then we should see the sellers
come back.

AUDUSD
technical analysis

On the 4 hour chart below, we can
see that the price is now being rejected from the resistance and the 38.2% Fibonacci
retracement level. We should see a pullback towards the trendline and the support at 0.6720 where
the buyers are likely to pile in expecting another rally afterwards. The
sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking through the
trendline to jump onboard and extend the selloff towards the bottom of the
range.

On the 1 hour chart below, we can
see that an eventual pullback towards the trendline will have extra confluence from the 38.2% Fibonacci
retracement level. Therefore, the 0.6720 level is a strong area to watch as it
should define the next big move. Tomorrow, we have the US CPI report and it’s likely that
higher than expected data will give a boost to the USD as the market would
change its interest rates expectations, while lower than expected figures
should lead to more USD depreciation.

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

The share of owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months fell two points to a net negative 49%. A net negative 19% expected higher inflation-adjusted sales, down four points from March.

United States NFIB Small Business Optimism (Apr) $USD Actual: 89.0 Expected: 89.6 Previous: 90.1

Chart via MrMBrown

This article was written by Ryan Paisey at www.forexlive.com.