EUR/USD Technical Analysis

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<p>On the daily chart below, we can
see that the sellers defended the 1.07 <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>resistance</a> and leant on the red long period
<a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-moving-averages-20220425/“>moving
average</a>. The big selloff was caused by <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/ka-powell-20230308/“>Fed
Chair Powell</a>’s comments regarding the possibility of a 50 bps
hike at the March meeting and the willing to go above the projected terminal
rate in December 2022. The market interpreted this as a more hawkish stance and
the USD rallied across the board. </p><p>The downtrend for the EUR/USD
pair is still intact and the sellers are now eyeing the breakout of the 1.05
handle to target the next <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>support</a> at 1.02. Everything will come
down to the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/EconomicCalendar“>NFP report tomorrow</a> where a beat should lead to a
breakout and a bigger selloff and a miss should give the buyers again some
control. </p><p>On the 4 hour chart below, we can
see that the selloff after Powell led also to a breakout of the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-trendlines-20220406/“>trendline</a> before finding support at the
1.0533 level. The price is now consolidating just below the neckline at 1.0576
of the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/chart-patterns-guide-20220125/“>double
top</a>.
Generally, once the neckline is broken, the target is the measured move from
the high to the neckline projected to the downside, so in this case it would be
1.0457, but we will need a strong NFP report to get there.</p><p>On the 1 hour chart below, we can
see that the sellers started to pile in when the violet trendline gave way in
anticipation of the double top working out. Powell’s comments just happened to
increase the momentum a lot and led to the breakout of both the blue trendline
and the neckline. </p><p>Now, the sellers should be
defending the resistance zone at 1.0576 where we can also find the 38.2% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level. This little range created between 1.0533
and 1.0576 will define the next move based on the NFP data. Break above on a
miss and the buyers will be in control. Break below on a beat and the sellers
will lead the way. </p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

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