<p class=“MsoNormal“>On the daily chart below, we can
see that the market got stuck in a range as soon as it bounced from the 1731 <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>support</a>. The uncertainty is high. On one
hand the market is more optimistic as the banking crisis is fading, on the
other hand, it is pessimistic that the recent events will cause a bigger
slowdown in the economy than expected. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>After bouncing yet again from the
support, the price is now approaching the top of the range where there is also
the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-confluence-20220318/“>confluence</a> with the 38.2% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level and the red long period <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-moving-averages-20220425/“>moving
average</a>. It’s very likely that the sellers will lean on this level with defined
risk and target again the support. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 4
hour chart below, we can see more closely the range between the 1731 support
and the 1800 <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>resistance</a>. The buyers will need to break
above the resistance supported by a fundamental catalyst to confirm the
breakout and start a rally towards the 1900 level. The sellers will most likely
use the resistance to pile in again and target a break below the 1731 support. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 1 hour chart, we can see
that the market is trading in a channel and that is <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-divergence-20220429/“>diverging</a> with the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-macd-20220427/“>MACD</a> right when it approaches the
resistance. This is a signal of a loss of the buying momentum and it’s another
good signal for the sellers. A possible catalyst may be today’s <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/EconomicCalendar“>US Jobless Claims</a> report where a beat should make
the market to price out some of the extreme dovishness in rates and send the
Russell 2000 lower, and a miss (although it should be bearish too) may give the
breakout the buyers are looking for as the market will look at rate cuts
earlier than expected. </p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

<p class=“MsoNormal“>Hype is
quickly building for the Finance Magnates Africa Summit (FMAS:23), which is
coming in a matter of weeks. The biggest event of the year on the continent will
be held May 8-10, 2023 at the luxurious Sandton Convention Centre in
Johannesburg, South Africa.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>While the event
has something for all attendees, FMAS:23 will be of particular interest for
retail traders. This includes the showcasing of new trading technologies and
retail trading strategies that you won’t be able to see anywhere else.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>FMAS:23 will
feature the industry’s biggest brokers and brands, as well as A-list traders,
specialists, and experts. Network, learn, and engage with the best in the business
at what will be an unforgettable event this May.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>New
Technology, Trading Strategies in Focus at FMAS:23</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The doors of
FMAS:23 will swing open in less than two months. Nowhere else do attendees have
the opportunity to speak directly with so many trading experts and leading
brands at one time in Africa. FMAS:23 will feature a total of 2.5 days of sessions,
workshops, panels, discussions, and more, touching on every corner of the
retail trading industry. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>As a
reminder, registration for the event is now live and available for <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://events.financemagnates.com/fmas2023/register/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>signup today</a>!
With over 3000+ Attendees, 70+ Exhibitors, 100+ Brokers, and 50+ Speakers,
FMAS:23 will function as your gateway into Africa.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Join
thousands of like-minded individuals who all have the same thing on their minds.
The event will serve as a celebration and coming out of the African retail
trading industry, which for years has been building in momentum and attraction.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>With so much
potential, the decision to host FMAS:23 in South Africa was an easy one to
make. Explore the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.financemagnates.com/fm-events/fmas23-explore-the-live-agenda/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>live
agenda</a> today and see what sessions, panels and workshops resonate with your
interests the most.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>
Start Off FMAS:23 the Right Way</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The event kicks off with
a bang at the Blitz Party, which looms as the most prestigious opening party of
the year. Get ready to mingle with fellow attendees, traders, and more, while
networking with the best in the business. This is your chance to live the life
of luxury, meet the most influential people in the retail trading industry and
start the expo off the right way.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Get ready to rub
shoulders with some of the biggest names in the finance industry. The Finance
Magnates Africa Summit attracts top-level leaders, brands, and more from across
the globe, providing an unparalleled opportunity to network with and learn from
the best. Whether you’re looking to make new connections or simply see what’s
out there ahead of the event itself, this is the place to be.</p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

<p>Headlines:</p><ul><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/as-the-banking-turmoil-ebbs-what-is-the-fed-pricing-looking-like-20230329/“>As the banking turmoil ebbs, what is the Fed pricing looking like?</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-lane-rates-must-rise-if-banking-tension-has-no-or-fairly-limited-impact-20230329/“>ECB’s Lane: Rates must rise if banking tension has no or ‚fairly limited‘ impact</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-kazimir-we-agreed-not-to-give-guidance-about-may-policy-meeting-20230329/“>ECB’s Kazimir: We agreed not to give guidance about May policy meeting</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/bojs-kuroda-japan-is-closer-than-before-to-sustainably-hit-2-inflation-target-20230329/“>BOJ’s Kuroda: Japan is closer than before to sustainably hit 2% inflation target</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/germany-april-gfk-consumer-confidence-295-vs-292-expected-20230329/“>Germany April GfK consumer confidence -29.5 vs -29.2 expected</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/france-march-consumer-confidence-81-vs-81-expected-20230329/“>France March consumer confidence 81 vs 81 expected</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/uk-february-mortgage-approvals-4354k-vs-4050k-expected-20230329/“>UK February mortgage approvals 43.54k vs 40.50k expected</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-mba-mortgage-applications-we-24-march-29-vs-30-prior-20230329/“>US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 24 March +2.9% vs +3.0% prior</a></li></ul><p>Markets:</p><ul><li>EUR leads, JPY lags on the day</li><li>European equities higher; S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.9%</li><li>US 10-year yields down 1 bps to 3.558%</li><li>Gold down 0.5% to $1,963.49</li><li>WTI crude up 1.0% to $73.96</li><li>Bitcoin up 3.6% to $28,319</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>It was a light session in terms of headlines as markets are still coming to terms with the aftermath of the banking turmoil.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Equities nudged higher after a bit of a hiccup in Wall Street yesterday while bond yields initially moved up before coming down mid-way through European morning trade. In FX, the dollar sits a bit more mixed after having held slight gains at the start of the session.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>European stocks are enjoying a good start to the day, pulling higher after a positive open, with gains also observed in US futures with tech sentiment rebounding.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Meanwhile, European and US bond yields were initially higher but erased that advance to fall lower, hinting at a push and pull as traders are still sorting out their feet ahead of month-end and quarter-end trading. There are also bigger factors to consider, as outlined <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/bond-yields-trip-lower-as-traders-continue-to-reassess-the-outlook-20230329/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>here</a>.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Looking over to major currencies, the yen is the laggard as it builds on losses from Asia trading. I mentioned <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/dollar-holds-slightly-higher-so-far-on-the-day-20230329/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>here</a> how it looks to be a catch up play to yields after USD/JPY did drop yesterday, with the pair rising from 131.70 to 132.20 in European trading – now up nearly 1% on the day.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Elsewhere, EUR/USD was choppy as it fell slightly to 1.0820 before climbing back up to sit 0.2% higher at 1.0865 at the moment. GBP/USD also saw a similar swing from 1.2305 to 1.2350 levels at the moment, up 0.1% on the day.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The antipodeans are among the laggards, with AUD/USD down 0.4% to 0.6680 and NZD/USD down 0.2% to 0.6240 as both currencies erase their advance from yesterday despite the better risk mood.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>As much as market players would like to latch on to a theme to build something with, it looks like the potential mess involving month-end and quarter-end is preventing any real convictions for the time being.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p class=“MsoNormal“>Traders today
have become more savvy and smarter. This may be attributed to educational
trading websites that abound, offering valuable and useful insights into
trading.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>A large number
of beginner traders may come into forex with certain preconceived ideas and
misconceptions. However, it’s never too late to expand your learning and
develop a clearer and more insightful view of the industry. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Here we offer some
useful trading tips to get you started and help you build a strong trading
process. Finding your trading strength and discovering fresh trading ideas is
part of the trading process of becoming the trader you aspire to.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Choosing a
trading style</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Based on the
length of time that trades are held, we have four main trading styles:
scalping, day trading, swing trading and position trading. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Scalping trades
are very quick, and are held for just a few seconds or a few minutes. Day
trades can be held from a few seconds to a few hours. Swing trades can be held
for a few days while position trades can be held for a few days up to several
years.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>If you are just
starting, you may find it difficult to decide which style suits you best. But
there are certain personality traits that go with each trading style. Here are
a few pointers. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Scalping suits traders who can make fast decisions. Day trading
is for those who want to complete a task on the same day. More patient traders
who may leave trades open overnight are best suited for swing trading.
For the most patient and those traders who are not after quick trades, position
trading is more suitable as it is a long-term trading style.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Trading as a
business</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>You need to
treat trading as a business, cultivate consistency and follow a specific
program. Like a business, which promotes its products consistently, a trader
needs to remain focused and follow a specific plan, pattern and setup. It’s all
about commitment. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Choose the best broker you can find</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>With so much choice nowadays, traders
can find a broker who provides what they want. There are brokers with the best
education, the best platforms and the best trading conditions. Choose wisely
and leverage as many benefits and tools as you can to streamline your trades. First
and foremost, make sure that you have the right tools for the trade. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Once you
have access to the right platforms and the best trading conditions, you can
test different trading strategies so you can work towards a successful trading process
for the long term. <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.t4trade.com/en/?utm_source=media&amp;utm_medium=fl&amp;utm_campaign=publication&amp;utm_id=orm&amp;utm_term=Top-Trading-Tips-for-2023&amp;utm_content=homepage“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>T4Trade</a> provides access to 300 trading instruments
across 6 asset classes with superb trading conditions. Traders can open one of
the different account types and trade with zero commission on any of <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.t4trade.com/en/platforms/?utm_source=media&amp;utm_medium=fl&amp;utm_campaign=publication&amp;utm_id=orm&amp;utm_term=Top-Trading-Tips-for-2023&amp;utm_content=trading-platforms“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>T4Trade’s trading platforms</a>. Additionally, T4Trade supports its traders
with exclusive trading education including <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.t4trade.com/en/academy/webinars/?utm_source=media&amp;utm_medium=fl&amp;utm_campaign=publication&amp;utm_id=orm&amp;utm_term=Top-Trading-Tips-for-2023&amp;utm_content=webinars#/upcoming“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>webinars</a>, <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.t4trade.com/en/academy/podcasts/?utm_source=media&amp;utm_medium=fl&amp;utm_campaign=publication&amp;utm_id=orm&amp;utm_term=Top-Trading-Tips-for-2023&amp;utm_content=podcasts“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>podcasts</a> and <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.t4trade.com/en/academy/video-on-demand/?utm_source=media&amp;utm_medium=fl&amp;utm_campaign=publication&amp;utm_id=orm&amp;utm_term=Top-Trading-Tips-for-2023&amp;utm_content=video-on-demand“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>video on demand.</a></p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Look at the
bigger picture</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Check the
bigger timeframes to look for long-term trends and avoid just looking at weekly
and daily charts. Forming trading ideas
and understanding the bigger picture will allow you to have an overall
understanding of the market. Once you do that, you can begin looking at smaller
timeframes and explore short-term opportunities.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Understand
Asset Correlations</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>By
understanding the positive or negative correlation between two assets you can
grasp better opportunities. A positive correlation means that the two assets
will move in a similar direction, while a negative correlation means that the
two assets will move in oppositie directions. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The US dollar and gold have a
negative correlation, whereas commodity currencies such as the Australian and
New Zealand Dollars have a positive correlation due to the proximity of the two
countries as well as their trading relationship. Australia is New Zealand’s biggest trading
partner.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Understanding
about these dynamics will enable you to speculate on the movement of currencies
more confidently and create a strong trading process.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Manage your
risk</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>No one wants to
lose money, but trading is unpredictable and even the best traders incur
losses. To better manage your risk and limit your losses, you need to calculate
your risk on each trade and know when to enter or close a trade. Ensure you always use stop losses to protect
yourself from unexpected moves.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Check your
emotion</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>One of the
biggest risks to traders is their own psychology. Fear and greed can lead to
increased losses as traders may make rushed and irrational decisions. Emotional
trading is risky and in order to develop a successful trading process, you have
to reduce emotion to the minimum. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Too many traders trade on emotions instead of
following cold hard facts. Having a trading plan and keeping a trading journal can help you keep your
emotions in check so you can trade with your mind and not your emotions.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Trading is a
process</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Developing a strong trading process and having clear trading ideas will not happen
overnight. Trading is a process of learning, testing strategies, making
mistakes and learning from them. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>While traders need to act fast to grasp
opportunities, this doesn’t mean that it’s easy. Very often, it takes years of
knowledge, patience and practice to get to a point where you can trade with
some confidence. Impatience has no room in trading, as this can lead to
mistakes. Those who study, practice and remain focused will be rewarded in the
long term. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Stay in the
loop</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The forex
market is changing and along with it there are new trends in trading and
software. Being aware of new trends and new technologies will help you stay
ahead of the game. With new indicators, advances in AI technology and
back-testing software, understanding the tools of the market and how to use
them to your benefit will keep you informed and ready to face new exciting
challenges.</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Trading is a
long process. However, if you know what you’re doing, you will eventually build
your trading strength and develop a successful trading process. It won’t happen
in a few months, but it may take a few years of consistent work. As Bill
Lipschutz said, “If most traders would learn to sit on their hands 50 percent
of the time, they would make a lot more money.” Keep trying and if you need to,
take the necessary risks. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Trading is a balancing act of doing too much and too
little. As many have said, trading is an art rather than a science, with its
own rules and patterns. Learning how to navigate this challenging landscape is
part of becoming a better trader. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>DISCLAIMER:
This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment
recommendation, but is instead a marketing communication.</p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

<ul><li>Prior +3.0%</li><li>Market index 227.3 vs 221.0 prior</li><li>Purchase index 172.7 vs 169.3 prior</li><li>Refinance index 504.4 vs 481.3 prior</li><li>30-year mortgage rate 6.45% vs 6.48% prior</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>As rates fall lower, the refinance index hits a 6-month high as overall activity continues to pick up in the mortgage market. A third straight week of a drop in borrowing costs is certainly helping with mortgage applications rising for a fourth consecutive week. That said, overall levels of activity are still rather depressed and that is evident by the chart below (which just shows a slight bounce in refinance activity after having touched the lowest since 2000 in the final week of last year):</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>/<a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/terms/u/us-dollar/“ class=“terms__main-term“ id=“fddda8f4-d5f8-4ee4-8e34-3760ed062f3c“>US Dollar</a></p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p class=“MsoNormal“>On the daily chart below, we can
see that after the big and fast rally caused by the Silicon Valley Bank
collapse and the fall in real yields, gold has entered a consolidation near the
previous top. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>We can also notice that the price
is <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-divergence-20220429/“>diverging</a> with the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-macd-20220427/“>MACD</a>, which is generally a signal of
a loss of momentum and we can generally see a pullback afterwards. The market
started to consolidate as the data after the banking crisis has not confirmed
weakness in the economy yet, on the contrary, the economic reports have been <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/sp-global-marchus-services-pmi-538-vs-505-expected-20230324/“>stronger
than expected</a>. It’s likely that we will see a major pullback in
case the data keeps beating expectations. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>XAUUSD technical analysis</p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 4 hour chart below, we can
see that the recent pullback bounced from the 38.2% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level. We can also see a <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/chart-patterns-guide-20220125/“>symmetrical
triangle pattern</a>. The price can breakout on either side, so it’s
paramount to watch the economic data as an eventual breakout should lead to a
big move. Tomorrow, we have the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/EconomicCalendar“>US Jobless Claims</a> report and it’s likely that we
will see weakness in gold in case the data beats and strength in case the data
misses. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 1 hour chart below, we can
see more closely the symmetrical triangle consolidation. Generally, it’s better
to sit out and wait for the breakout caused by a fundamental catalyst before
entering new positions. One can easily get chopped out in such environments. </p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.

<p>Headlines:</p><ul><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/equities-shrug-off-the-early-optimism-20230328/“>Equities shrug off the early optimism</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ecbs-muller-it-is-still-possible-to-hike-rates-further-20230328/“>ECB’s Muller: It is still possible to hike rates further</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/boes-bailey-i-dont-think-recent-bank-problems-are-causing-stress-in-the-uk-20230328/“>BOE’s Bailey: I don’t think recent bank problems are causing stress in the UK</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/france-march-business-confidence-103-vs-103-prior-20230328/“>France March business confidence 103 vs 103 prior</a></li><li><a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/eu-banking-regulator-eba-head-warns-risks-in-the-financial-system-remain-very-high-20230328/“>EU banking regulator (EBA) head warns “ risks in the financial system remain very high“</a></li></ul><p>Markets:</p><ul><li>NZD leads, CHF lags on the day</li><li>European equities slightly higher; S&amp;P 500 futures flat</li><li>US 10-year yields up 3.6 bps to 3.563%</li><li>Gold flat at $1,957.33</li><li>WTI crude up 0.4% to $73.12</li><li>Bitcoin up 0.2% to $27,108</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>It was a quiet session for the most part as markets are taking a bit of a breather, after having come to terms with the end of the banking turmoil. There were mixed tones across the board with equities seen higher early on before paring those gains while bond yields were initially lower in Asia, before turning higher in European morning trade.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The dollar though was slightly lower throughout, struggling to find much of a footing but there was no major extensions to the ranges among major currencies since the handover from Asia trading.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>EUR/USD is up 0.3% to 1.0830 from around 1.0815 earlier in the day while GBP/USD is up 0.3% as well to 1.2320 but fluctuating between that and 1.2290 for the most part. Meanwhile, USD/JPY moved up from 130.50 to 131.30 as bond yields recovered only to fall back to just below 131.00 at the moment.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The antipodeans are keeping higher and have been holding on to gains throughout, with AUD/USD up 0.5% to 0.6680 and NZD/USD up 0.6% to 0.6230 currently. Those levels are still keeping within the ranges we have seen in the past two weeks, so they aren’t really anything to shout about.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>While markets may be seeing the banking turmoil ebb, there is still some caution in the air as we look towards month-end and quarter-end trading alongside <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/its-still-about-the-inflation-watch-this-week-20230327/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>inflation data still to come</a> in Europe and US later in the week.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<ul><li>There may be more differing opinions at the next ECB meeting</li><li>Underlying inflation remains an area of concern</li><li>We must still be worried about upside inflation risks</li></ul><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Compared to what we heard from Nagel, this probably sits better with the majority of policymakers at the central bank or at least the core viewpoint I would say.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>The peak of the optimism today came right at the European open and since then, we are seeing a bit of a hiccup as stocks are unable to carry forward the slightly better mood from Asia. S&amp;P 500 futures are down 4 points, or 0.1%, currently:</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>Meanwhile, the bank index in Europe has also turned negative (-0.3%) after a decent start earlier in the day. Looking over to the major indices in the region, they have also pared their early gains seen <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/european-equities-open-higher-to-start-the-day-20230328/“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>here</a> to be up by just 0.1% across the board now.</p><p style=““ class=“text-align-justify“>There aren’t any major headlines as it just seems like investors are digesting the post-banking turmoil feels alongside some trepidation ahead of key inflation data later in the week.</p>

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

<p class=“MsoNormal“>On the daily chart below for AUDUSD, we can <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/LiveCharts?tvwidgetsymbol=FX%3AAUDUSD“ target=“_blank“ rel=“follow“>see that after breaking above</a> the downward <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-trendlines-20220406/“>trendline</a>, the buyers started to have the
upper hand and even managed to breach the 0.67 <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-support-and-resistance-20220405/“>resistance</a>. The <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-understanding-moving-averages-20220425/“>moving
averages</a> are on the verge of crossing upwards, which would be a bad omen for the
sellers. We can see how hard the sellers are fighting back by the long candlesticks
wicks above the 0.67 handle. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>Those were created as the Fed
delivered on expectations but sounded less hawkish, giving the buyers some
conviction to try a push to the next resistance at 0.6781. The following days
though the sellers piled in and brought the price back below the 0.67 handle.
This line seems to be important for the market. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 4 hour chart below, we can
see that the fall after the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-fed-hikes-25-basis-points-dollar-initially-falls-20230322/“>FOMC
decision</a>, led also to the break below the upward trendline, which was defining
the uptrend. The price since then pulled back to the 0.67 resistance and it’s
likely that we will find sellers here. Moreover, the recent rally came after
the hot <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/news/sp-global-marchus-services-pmi-538-vs-505-expected-20230324/“>US
PMIs</a>, which may indicate that this is just a squeeze on dollar longs and we
may see the USD coming back strongly soon. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>This will depend on the economic
data though. If the data keeps coming in strong, then the market should reprice
again interest rates expectations and lead to some dollar strength. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>On the 1 hour chart below, we can
see that for the sellers this is a good spot to pile in as they have the 0.67
resistance and the <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-confluence-20220318/“>confluence</a> with the 50% <a target=“_blank“ href=“https://www.forexlive.com/Education/technical-analysis-using-fibonacci-retracements-20220421/“>Fibonacci
retracement</a> level. More conservative sellers may want to wait
for the price to break below the 0.6665 support before jumping onboard. </p><p class=“MsoNormal“>The buyers, on the other hand,
should find more conviction in case the price breaks again above the 0.67
handle, but they are likely to lean also on the 0.6665 support in case the
price pulls back. </p>

This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.