What to know ahead of Fed chair Powell’s appearance later in the day? 0 (0)

Powell will be making two appearances today but at a similar event at the Spelman College. They are late ones and even more so on a Friday, as he is slated to speak at 1600 GMT and then at 1900 GMT. Here’s the agenda:

The first chat will center around „the challenges of the post-Covid economy“ before the roundtable discussion kicks off later in the day.

Given the setting, it looks like there could be room for Powell to be questioned on the Fed outlook and the key thing to watch out for now will be his remarks on interest rates. And that will be even more crucial now especially after Fed governor Waller’s remarks earlier this week here.

Will Powell double down on that or will he push back against what Waller had mentioned when it comes to rate cuts and the timing of easing monetary policy? That is the main thing to keep an eye out for.

It is also important to get a sense of what markets have priced in going into Powell’s appearance later today. Right now, there is roughly 115 bps worth of rate cuts priced in for the Fed for next year alone. The first rate cut is priced in for May right now and personally, I think we’re at the limit already in terms of pricing in added dovishness for the Fed.

The current pricing suggests that we are going to see rate cuts come within six months and that is nowhere near what the Fed had suggested with their earlier talk of higher rates for longer. So, are traders getting it wrong or is the Fed eventually going to cave in? I guess we’ll see.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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TSLA Stock Technical Analysis: Decoding the Daily Chart with Volume Profile and VWAP 0 (0)

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) remains a highly watched stock in the market, with its daily price movements offering significant insights for investors. Equipped with an updated chart featuring detailed price labels, this analysis will integrate these specific price points to offer a refined perspective for both swing traders and long-term holders considering their positions in TSLA. For those interested in other stocks hub page, check out our ddaily updates stocks page and choose a stock symbol that may interest you,

Swing Trader Analysis for TSLA STOCK: KEY PRICE LEVELS

  • Resistance Retreat: TSLA’s price pulling back from the 1st upper VWAP line at $240.88, after a bearish candle, indicates a short-term resistance area.
  • Downward Journey: The price decrease from the VAH line at $252.75 suggests a potential trajectory towards the POC line at $235.59.
  • Support Levels: Should the downtrend persist, the next support is at the VWAP line at $228.6, followed by the VAL line at $220.73.

Price Forecast for Tesla Swing Traders: Key Support and Resistance to Monitor

  • Immediate Resistance for TSLA stock: The 2nd and 3rd upper VWAP lines at $252.80 and $264.73, respectively, serve as crucial short-term ceilings.
  • Potential Support Reversal for TSLA stock: The POC at $235.59 may provide a rebound point, while the lower VWAP lines at $217.04 and $205.11 offer subsequent support levels.

Long-Term Investor Insights: Strategic Price Points for Tesla stock

  • Evaluating Entry and Exit: The current pullback near the upper VWAP lines suggests a re-evaluation of entry points, with the POC at $235.59 acting as a potential accumulation zone.
  • Monitoring Lower Supports: The VAL at $220.73 and the lower VWAP bands ($217.04, $205.11, and $193.19) are critical for determining long-term support strength.

Conclusion: Strategic Investment Decisions Ahead for TSLA Traders and Investors

The detailed daily chart of TSLA presents specific price levels that are instrumental for traders and investors. Swing traders can leverage the resistance and support labels to make precise moves, while long-term investors may find these levels helpful for assessing the stock’s value and making informed decisions. Understanding these price points, in conjunction with TSLA’s market activity, is vital for navigating investment strategies effectively.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Key levels in play 0 (0)

USD

  • The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected
    at the last meeting with basically no change to the statement.
  • Fed Chair Powell stressed once again that they are
    proceeding carefully as the full effects of policy tightening have yet to be
    felt.
  • The US Core PCE yesterday came in line
    with forecasts with the disinflationary progress continuing steady.
  • The labour market is starting to show weakness as Continuing
    Claims are now rising at a fast pace and the recent NFP report missed across
    the board.
  • The latest US PMIs came basically in line
    with expectations with a miss in the Manufacturing index and a beat in the
    Services measure.
  • The US Consumer Confidence this week beat
    expectations although the details about the labour market continued to weaken.
  • The hawkish Fed members recently shifted
    their stance to a more neutral position.
  • The market doesn’t expect the Fed to hike anymore.

GBP

  • The BoE kept interest rates
    unchanged as expected at the last meeting.
  • The central bank is leaning towards
    keeping interest rates “higher for longer”, although it keeps a door open for
    further tightening if inflationary pressures were to be more persistent.
  • The BoE members continue to repeat
    that they will keep rates high for long enough to get inflation back to target.
  • The latest employment report beat
    expectations with wage growth remaining at elevated levels.
  • The UK CPI missed expectations
    across the board, which was a welcome development for the BoE.
  • The UK PMIs last week beat
    expectations on both the Manufacturing and Services measures, with the Services
    sector crawling back in expansion.
  • The latest UK Retail Sales missed
    expectations across the board by a big margin as consumer spending remains
    weak.
  • The market doesn’t expect the BoE to
    hike anymore.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis –
Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that GBPUSD recently
broke through the key resistance around the 1.26 handle where we had also the
50% Fibonacci retracement level for confluence. The pair managed to extend the
rally to the 1.12750 level where it got rejected from the 61.8% Fibonacci
retracement level of the entire fall from the cycle high. The sellers will now
want to see the price falling back below the 1.26 handle to pile in and target
new lows.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis –
4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see that the pair has
been diverging with the MACD for quite some time as it approached the key
resistance level. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed
by pullbacks or reversals. In this case, the buyers are likely to lean on the
trendline and the previous resistance that now might act as support. The
sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to
position for a drop into new lows.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis –
1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see more
closely the bullish setup around the trendline and the support level. What
happens here will likely decide where the pair will go in the next few weeks. A
bounce and a break above the 1.2670 level should confirm another rally, while a
break below the trendline and the support is likely to trigger a selloff into
the 1.24 handle.

Upcoming Events

Today, the main event will
be the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI which missed expectations by a
big margin the last time. A strong report is likely to give another boost to
the US Dollar while weak figures could weigh on the greenback in the short term.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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High chance for YCC and negative rates to be scrapped as soon as April – ex-BOJ official 0 (0)

Muto says that as things stand, there is a high chance for yield curve control (YCC) and negative rates to be scrapped – possibly as early as April next year. The key thing that such a development hinges on will be the outcome of the spring wage negotiations. Meanwhile, he also says that the BOJ has no choice but to hold on to ETFs for now as any unwinding in their holdings could trigger a market selloff.

He’s just reaffirming the market landscape and outlook at the moment. As mentioned many times already, the BOJ has kicked the can down the road to next March and April as they hope to make a change after the spring wage negotiations then. The question in the next few months will be whether the inflation outlook will have materially changed by then to justify such a move.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Unveiling YaMarkets and the Latest Trends in Trading Technology 0 (0)

Technological
advancements are propelling a remarkable transformation in the Forex market, a
dynamic arena where fortunes are made and lost. Whether it is traditional
trading methods or sophisticated strategies, technology has catapulted the
Forex market into a new era. This surge in technological innovation is not
merely a trend but a revolution and traders are embracing this paradigm shift
for the optimal trading experience.

This digital transformation has opened up new
opportunities for traders of all levels, providing them with tools and insights
that were previously unavailable. As one of the leading Forex brokers,
YaMarkets empowers its clients to navigate the complex world of Forex trading
with confidence.

Here are some of the trends and developments
of Forex trading which is being used by YaMarkets to pass the optimal benefits
of trading to the traders

1. AI-Powered
Trading Algorithms

AI is playing a pivotal role in developing sophisticated trading
algorithms that can analyse vast amounts of market data, identify patterns, and
make trading decisions based on these insights. These algorithms, capable of
processing complex information at lightning speed, offer traders a powerful
tool for navigating the dynamic forex markets for optimal Trading.

Yamarkets plays a crucial role in
facilitating AI-powered trading algorithms by providing a robust and
technologically advanced trading platform.

The platform offers a range of features and
tools that empower traders and developers to implement sophisticated algorithms
for efficient and data-driven trading strategies such as:

Key features of YaMarkets AI-powered trading
algorithm

· Data
Integration: Yamarkets enables seamless integration of diverse data sources,
including market feeds, economic indicators, and social media sentiment
analysis. This rich data environment serves as the foundation for AI algorithms
to make informed trading decisions

· Advanced
Analytics: Yamarkets’ trading platform offers comprehensive analytics tools
that assist in the evaluation of historical market data and the identification
of patterns. AI algorithms leverage these analytical capabilities to recognize
trends, correlations, and anomalies, aiding in the development of predictive
models.

· Machine
Learning Support: YaMarkets supports machine learning models, allowing traders to
implement algorithms that can adapt and improve over time. This capability is
instrumental in creating dynamic strategies that can adjust to changing market
conditions.

· Risk Management
Tools: Yamarkets offers advanced risk management tools to monitor and
control trading activities. AI algorithms can leverage these tools to implement
risk mitigation strategies, such as stop-loss orders and portfolio
diversification, enhancing overall trading stability.

· Execution
Speed: Yamarkets prioritizes low-latency execution, a critical factor
in high-frequency trading. This feature ensures that AI-powered algorithms can
react swiftly to market changes, optimizing trade execution and minimizing
slippage.

· Scalability: Yamarkets
provides a scalable infrastructure that accommodates the computational demands
of AI algorithms. This scalability is essential for handling large datasets and
complex computations required by advanced trading strategies.

2. Democratisation of Forex Trading

In the past, Forex trading was largely the
domain of institutional investors and professional traders. However, the advent
of online trading platforms and mobile applications has democratized access to
the market, allowing individuals with an internet connection to participate.
YaMarkets played a significant role in this democratization, pioneering the use
of user-friendly trading platforms and providing accessible educational
resources to traders.

YaMarkets has spearheaded the democratisation
of Forex trading by introducing user-friendly trading platforms used by the
latest developments of Trading platforms such as MT4 and MT5. The user-friendly
interfaces and accessible tools offered by YaMarkets empower individuals,
irrespective of their background or experience, to navigate the complexities of
Forex trading with confidence using the internet.

The key factors contributing to the democratisation
of Forex trading in YaMarkets include:

· Online Trading Platforms: The advent of user-friendly and accessible online
trading platforms of YaMarkets has empowered individual traders to participate
in the Forex market. As a Technology
YaMarkets educates traders by continuously providing updated educational resources,
real-time market data, and various tools to assist traders in making informed
decisions

· Leverage and Margin Trading: YaMarkets offer leverage, allowing traders to
control larger positions with a relatively smaller amount of capital. While this
can enhance potential profits, it also involves higher risk. Nevertheless, it
enables traders with limited funds to participate in the Forex market.

·
Reduced Costs: Using the Latest technology, YaMarkets provides clear statistics that
allow traders to Lower transaction costs, tighter spreads, and competitive
pricing e making Forex trading more cost-effective and accessible for retail
traders.

· Regulatory Changes: YaMarkets‘ regulatory prudence is aimed at
creating a more transparent and secure environment for retail Forex trading.
These changes are designed to protect traders and ensure fair practices within
the industry.

3.
Cloud-Based Technology

One of the latest developments in Forex
trading is using cloud-based Technology. YaMarkets’ Cloud-based trading
platform has emerged as a significant advancement in the financial industry,
revolutionizing the way traders interact with the markets. This cloud computing
technology provides traders with a host of benefits, ranging from increased
accessibility and convenience to enhanced security and collaboration.

The cloud-based technology
of YaMarkets allows traders to connect from anywhere with an internet
connection. This flexibility is especially crucial in the fast-paced world of
financial markets, where timely decision-making is paramount. Traders can
access their accounts, execute trades, and monitor the market in real time,
whether they are at home, in the office, or on the go.

4. Mobile Trading Apps

The evolution of mobile trading apps stands as a pivotal trend and
development in the financial landscape, fundamentally transforming the way
traders engage with the markets. The convenience offered by these apps has led
to their widespread adoption, enabling traders to seamlessly monitor market
movements, manage accounts, and execute trades directly from their smartphones
or tablets. Among the trailblazers in this domain, the YaMarkets Mobile trading
app has played a significant role in revolutionizing the trading experience,
offering a myriad of benefits to traders.

·
Real-time
Market Monitoring: The app
enables real-time monitoring of market movements, empowering traders with
up-to-the-minute information. This instantaneous access to market data allows
for swift decision-making, crucial in an environment where market conditions
can change rapidly. YaMarkets Mobile app ensures that traders stay
well-informed, enhancing their ability to seize opportunities and manage risks
effectively.

·
Trade
Execution at Your Fingertips: YaMarkets‘
mobile app facilitates seamless trade execution directly from the palm of the
trader’s hand. Whether it’s initiating new trades, modifying existing
positions, or closing positions, the app streamlines these processes,
eliminating the need for a desktop setup. This feature not only enhances
convenience but also ensures that traders can act promptly on their trading
strategies.

·
User-friendly
Interface: The mobile app is designed
with a user-friendly interface, making it accessible to traders of all levels
of experience. Intuitive navigation and a well-designed layout contribute to a
positive user experience, reducing the learning curve for those new to mobile
trading. This emphasis on usability aligns with YaMarkets‘ commitment to
empowering traders through accessible technology.

·
Enhanced
Portfolio Management: YaMarkets
Mobile trading app facilitates comprehensive portfolio management, allowing
traders to monitor their investments, track performance, and make informed
decisions about portfolio adjustments. The app provides a holistic view of the
trader’s financial landscape, enhancing strategic planning and risk management.

·
Security
Measures: Recognizing the importance of security in the
financial realm, YaMarkets has implemented robust security measures within its
mobile app. Encryption, secure login protocols, and other protective features
ensure that traders can engage in mobile trading with confidence, knowing that
their sensitive information is safeguarded.

Summary

In conclusion, the Forex
market is in the midst of a transformative revolution driven by technological
advancements. YaMarkets, a leading Forex broker, has been at the forefront of
this evolution, playing a crucial role in empowering traders with cutting-edge
tools and platforms. Here are some specific examples of how YaMarkets is using
the latest trends and developments in forex trading technology to benefit its
traders:

  • Artificial intelligence
    (AI) and machine learning (ML) are being to develop automated trading
    systems that can make decisions based on real-time market data. This
    can help traders to take advantage of opportunities and avoid risks that
    they might not otherwise be aware of.
  • Big data
    analytics is being used to identify patterns and trends in the market
    that can be used to develop profitable trading strategies. This can
    give traders a significant edge over the competition.
  • Cloud-based trading
    platforms are providing traders with access to the latest trading
    tools and technology from anywhere in the world. This can make it
    easier for traders to stay on top of the market and make informed trading
    decisions.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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Types of Traders and Tips for Success 0 (0)

Trading is a diverse field with many different strategies and types
of traders. Each type of trader has a unique approach to the markets, and their
success depends on how well they can adapt their strategy to changing market
conditions. Here are 16 types of traders
and some tips for each one.

  1. Scalper: Scalpers make quick
    and frequent trades to profit from small price fluctuations. The key to
    success as a scalper is speed and precision. You need to be able to
    quickly identify opportunities and execute trades before the market moves
    against you.
  2. Day Trader: Day traders open
    and close positions within the same trading day, avoiding overnight risks.
    Successful day trading requires discipline and a solid understanding of
    technical analysis. It’s also important to have a well-defined trading
    plan and stick to it.
  3. Swing Trader: Swing traders
    hold positions for several days or weeks to take advantage of medium-term
    market trends. Patience is crucial for swing traders, as it can take time
    for a trend to develop. They should also be comfortable with holding
    positions overnight and dealing with potential gaps in the market.
  4. Position Trader: Position
    traders hold positions for months or even years, focusing on long-term
    market movements. This type of trading requires a deep understanding of
    fundamental analysis and the ability to ignore short-term market noise.
  5. Trend Follower: Trend followers
    identify and follow long-term market trends in order to profit from them.
    The key to successful trend following is patience and discipline. It’s
    important to let your profits run and cut your losses short.
  6. Contrarian: Contrarians go
    against the prevailing market sentiment, believing that it is overextended
    and due for a reversal. To succeed as a contrarian, you need to have a
    strong conviction in your analysis and be willing to stand against the
    crowd.
  7. Momentum Trader: Momentum
    traders focus on stocks or assets displaying strong upward momentum,
    aiming to ride the trend. They need to be able to identify when momentum
    is building and when it is starting to fade.
  8. Technical Analyst: Technical
    analysts use technical indicators and chart patterns to analyze price
    movements and make trading decisions. A deep understanding of technical
    analysis and the ability to interpret various indicators and patterns are
    crucial for success.
  9. Fundamental Analyst:
    Fundamental analysts evaluate the intrinsic value of an asset based on
    fundamental factors such as earnings, growth prospects, and industry
    trends. This requires a good understanding of financial statements and
    economic indicators.
  10. Event Trader: Event traders
    take advantage of market volatility and price fluctuations caused by major
    news events or economic releases. They need to stay informed about
    upcoming events and understand how they might impact the markets.
  11. Arbitrageur: Arbitrageurs
    simultaneously buy and sell the same or similar assets in different
    markets to profit from price discrepancies. This requires sophisticated
    trading systems and a deep understanding of market mechanics.
  12. Options Trader: Options traders
    specialize in trading options contracts. They need to understand the
    complexities of options pricing and have a strategy for managing risk.
  13. Forex Trader: Forex traders
    focus on trading currency pairs in the foreign exchange market. They need
    to understand the factors that influence currency values, including
    economic indicators and geopolitical events.
  14. Commodity Trader: Commodity
    traders buy and sell physical commodities or commodity futures contracts.
    They need to understand supply and demand dynamics and the factors that
    influence commodity prices.
  15. Crypto Trader: Crypto traders
    trade cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Ripple. They need to
    stay up-to-date with the latest developments in the crypto space and be
    comfortable with high levels of volatility.
  16. Algorithmic Trader: Algorithmic
    traders use computer algorithms to automate trading strategies. They need
    strong programming skills and a deep understanding of trading strategies
    and market mechanics.

In conclusion, no matter what type of trader you are, it’s
important to have a clear trading plan, manage your risk effectively, and
continuously educate yourself about the markets. Trading is a journey of
constant learning and improvement.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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What is the Difference Between a Meme Coin and a Regular Coin? 0 (0)

In the world of cryptocurrencies, there are two broad categories that coins fall into:
regular coins and meme coins. Understanding the difference between these two
types of coins is crucial for anyone interested in investing in or trading cryptocurrencies.

Regular coins, also known as cryptocurrencies, are digital
or virtual forms of currency that use cryptography for security. They are
decentralized systems that allow for secure, peer-to-peer transactions to take
place over the internet. These coins have intrinsic value and are often created
to solve real-world problems. For example, Bitcoin was created as a digital
alternative to traditional currencies, while Ethereum was designed to
facilitate smart contracts and distributed applications without downtime, fraud,
control, or interference from a third party.

On the other hand, meme coins are a type of cryptocurrency
that started as a joke or meme but have gained popularity and value. The most
well-known meme coin is Dogecoin, which started as a joke based on the popular
„Doge“ internet meme featuring a Shiba Inu dog. Despite its origins,
Dogecoin has become a legitimate investment for some, with high-profile
endorsements from figures like Elon Musk.

The primary difference between regular coins and meme coins
lies in their purpose and perceived value. Regular coins are generally backed
by a solid project, a team of developers, and a clear roadmap for future
development. They have practical uses and offer solutions to existing problems.

Meme coins, however, often lack this substantive backing.
Their value is primarily driven by internet trends and social media hype rather
than underlying technology or utility. This makes them highly volatile and
risky investments.

Tips for Investing in Cryptocurrencies

  1. Do Your Research: Before
    investing in any cryptocurrency, whether it’s a regular coin or a meme
    coin, it’s essential to do thorough research. Understand what you’re
    investing in, the technology behind it, and its potential use cases.
  2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Don’t
    put all your eggs in one basket. Diversifying your investments can help
    mitigate risk.
  3. Invest What You Can Afford to
    Lose: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. Only invest money that you can
    afford to lose.
  4. Stay Updated: The world of
    cryptocurrencies is fast-paced and ever-changing. Stay updated with news
    and developments in the crypto space.
  5. Be Wary of Hype: Meme coins can
    be particularly susceptible to hype and speculation. Be cautious and don’t
    let FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) drive your investment decisions.

In conclusion, while both regular coins and meme coins have
their place in the cryptocurrency landscape, they cater to different types of
investors with varying risk appetites. It’s crucial to understand these
differences and make informed investment decisions.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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Types of Traders: Position Trader 0 (0)

A position trader is a type of trader who holds a position
in an asset for a long period, typically from months to years. Unlike day
traders who make numerous trades every day, or swing traders who hold onto
positions for days or weeks, position traders are more interested in the
long-term performance of an asset.

Position
trading is often associated with „buy and hold“ investing, but there’s a significant
difference. While buy-and-hold investors will stick with their positions no
matter how the market moves, position traders aim to profit from directional
trends and will exit their positions if they believe the trend is about to
reverse. They rely heavily on fundamental analysis to make their trading
decisions, looking at factors such as a company’s overall financial health,
industry conditions, and macroeconomic indicators.

One of the
main advantages of position trading is that it doesn’t require constant
monitoring of the markets. Since position traders are not concerned with minor
price fluctuations, they don’t need to be glued to their screens all day. This
makes position trading a good choice for people who want to trade actively but
have other commitments.

However,
position trading also comes with risks. It requires a substantial amount of
capital since trades are held for a long time and can experience large
drawdowns. Also, because position traders are exposed to overnight and weekend
market risk, sudden market changes can lead to significant losses.

Here are
some tips for successful position trading:

1.
Patience is key: Position trading is a waiting game. You need to be
patient enough to wait for the right trading opportunity and for your trades to
yield profits.

2.
Have a solid understanding of fundamental analysis: As a position trader, you should be
able to analyze economic indicators, industry conditions, and company
financials to predict long-term market trends.

3.
Use technical analysis to time your trades: While fundamental analysis is crucial
for identifying trading opportunities, technical analysis can help you decide
when to enter and exit trades.

4.
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.
Diversification can help you manage risk and increase your chances of long-term
success.

5.
Have a clear trading plan and stick to it: Your trading plan should include your
risk tolerance, profit target, and criteria for entering and exiting trades.
Once you have a plan, stick to it. Emotional decision-making can lead to costly
mistakes.

6.
Keep learning:
The financial markets are constantly changing, and successful traders are those
who keep learning and adapting. Stay updated with market news, learn from your
trading experiences, and don’t be afraid to experiment with different
strategies.

In
conclusion, position trading can be a profitable strategy if done correctly. It
requires patience, a good understanding of fundamental analysis, and a
disciplined approach to risk management. With the right skills and mindset,
anyone can become a successful position trader.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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USDJPY Technical Analysis 0 (0)

USD

  • The Fed left interest rates unchanged as
    expected at the last meeting with basically no change to the statement.
  • Fed Chair Powell stressed
    once again that they are proceeding carefully as the full effects of policy
    tightening have yet to be felt.
  • The recent US CPI missed
    expectations across the board bringing the expectations for rate cuts
    forward.
  • The labour market is
    starting to show weakness as Continuing Claims are now
    rising at a fast pace and the recent NFP report
    missed across the board. Last week though, the US Jobless Claims beat
    forecasts by a big margin, although volatility in the data is normal.
  • The latest US PMIs came
    basically in line with expectations with a miss in the Manufacturing index and
    a beat in the Services measure.
  • The US Consumer
    Confidence
    yesterday beat expectations although the
    details about the labour market continue to weaken.
  • The Fed members have been leaning on the
    hawkish side, but more recently the tone changed to a more neutral stance.
  • The market doesn’t
    expect the Fed to hike anymore.

JPY

  • The BoJ kept its monetary policy basically unchanged at the last meeting but formally
    widened the YCC to 1% on the 10-year JGBs stating that it will be a reference
    cap.
  • Governor Ueda repeated once again that they won’t
    hesitate to take easing measures if needed and that they are not foreseeing
    sustainable price increases.
  • The Japanese CPIlast week showed that inflation
    pressures are easing although they remain well above the BoJ’s 2% target.
  • The latest Unemployment Rate remained unchanged near cycle lows.
  • The Japanese Manufacturing PMI fell further into contraction but
    the Services PMI ticked higher remaining in expansion.
  • The latest Japanese wage data beat expectations. As a reminder
    the BoJ is focusing on wage growth to decide whether to tweak its monetary
    policy.
  • The market expects the BoJ to keep
    interest rates unchanged at the next meeting as well.

USDJPY Technical Analysis –
Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see
that USDJPY is now approaching a key trendline around
the 146.50 level. This is where we can expect the buyers to step in with a
defined risk below the trendline to position for another rally into the highs.

The rate cuts expectations and
the consequent fall in Treasury yields have been weighing a lot on the US
Dollar lately which boosted the JPY as the unwinding of some carry trades and
the convergence of yield differentials favoured the Yen. As long as the market
continues to price in rate cuts for the Fed and the US data continues to
weaken, we can expect more JPY strength to come.

USDJPY
Technical Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see that we got a nice
selloff yesterday following the less hawkish comments from Fed’s Waller and the
deteriorating labour market details in the US Consumer Confidence report. We
are now at key levels so the sellers might want to see a pullback before
positioning for more downside and target the break below the key trendline.

USDJPY Technical Analysis –
1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the
price is pulling back at the moment. The sellers should lean on the downward
trendline around the 148.00 handle to position for another selloff into the
major trendline, while the buyers will want to see the price breaking higher to
increase the bullish bets and target the trendline around the 149.50 level.

Upcoming Events

Tomorrow we will get the US PCE and US Jobless Claims
data with the market likely focusing more on the latter given that we already
saw the latest inflation data with the US CPI report just two weeks ago. On
Friday, we conclude the week with the Japan Labour Market data and the US ISM
Manufacturing PMI which missed expectations by a big margin the last time.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

Go to Forexlive